Football · Romania Liga III · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Progresul Mogosoaia vs Dinamo Bucharest II

Team pages: Progresul Mogosoaia · Dinamo Bucharest II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Progresul Mogosoaia2.04
Dinamo Bucharest II0.92
1X2
62% 22% 15%
Progresul Mogosoaia Draw Dinamo Bucharest II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Progresul Mogosoaia 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LLWLWWWDWW
Dinamo Bucharest II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDLLDWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Progresul Mogosoaia 1546 · Dinamo Bucharest II 1477
Progresul MogosoaiaDrawDinamo Bucharest II
Our model62%22%15%
Market62%23%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Progresul Mogosoaia (rating 1546 vs 1477).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Progresul MogosoaiaDinamo Bucharest II
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.51 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.90.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/57/43%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 4.81 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.33.1 / 0

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Acs Axi Arena 3300 409
2 Dunarea Giurgiu 3210 737
3 Progresul Mogosoaia 3210 537
4 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti 3210 427
5 Dinamo Bucharest II 3201 226
6 ACS Inter Ilfov 3111 664
7 CSM Alexandria 3111 334
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 3102 933
9 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 3102 643
10 Oxigen Bucuresti 3012 491
11 FC Voluntari II 3003 030
12 Steaua Bucharest II 3003 2140

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Progresul Mogosoaia

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-1 62 W
04/09 FC Voluntari II
Romania Liga III
1-0 W
28/08 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
2-2 D
16/05 CSO Baicoi
Romania Liga III
1-1 4-2 16 W
09/05 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte
Romania Liga III
0-1 2-1 74 W
01/05 CS Urban Titu
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-0 W
25/04 Vointa 2024 Crevedia
Romania Liga III
1-2 1-4 26 L
18/04 ACS Kids Tampa Brasov
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-0 63 W
10/04 FC Pucioasa
Romania Liga III
0-3 L
04/04 CSM Sacele
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-2 79 L

Dinamo Bucharest II

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 FC Voluntari II
Romania Liga III
1-0 12 W
04/09 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
0-2 0-2 15 L
28/08 Steaua Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-0 13 W
15/05 Steaua Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-3 20 L
08/05 FC Voluntari II
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-1 63 W
01/05 CS Agigea
Romania Liga III
1-1 D
24/04 CSA Axiopolis
Romania Liga III
0-3 2-4 76 L
18/04 Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Romania Liga III
1-2 L
10/04 Gloria Baneasa
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-0 43 D
04/04 ACS Progresul Fundulea
Romania Liga III
1-3 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Progresul Mogosoaia vs Dinamo Bucharest II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Progresul Mogosoaia win (62%). Probabilities: Progresul Mogosoaia 62%, draw 22%, Dinamo Bucharest II 15%.

How many goals are expected in Progresul Mogosoaia vs Dinamo Bucharest II?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Progresul Mogosoaia 2.04 · Dinamo Bucharest II 0.92), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Progresul Mogosoaia vs Dinamo Bucharest II?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.