Prediction: Steaua Bucharest II vs Progresul Mogosoaia
Team pages: Steaua Bucharest II · Progresul Mogosoaia
| Steaua Bucharest II | Draw | Progresul Mogosoaia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 23% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Progresul Mogosoaia (rating 1455 vs 1534).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Steaua Bucharest II | Progresul Mogosoaia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.5 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/29/57% | 13/63/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.3 | 2.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Omega Sport Bucuresti | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | CSM Alexandria | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Dunarea Giurgiu | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | ACS Inter Ilfov | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 14 |
| 5 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 6 | Acs Axi Arena | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
| 7 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 8 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Dinamo Bucharest II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Voluntari II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Steaua Bucharest II | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Steaua Bucharest II | Progresul Mogosoaia |
|---|---|---|
| Dunarea Giurgiu | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| CS Omega Sport Bucuresti | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| CSM Alexandria | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| ACS Inter Ilfov | 2-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Cetatea Turnu Magurele | 0-9 L | 3-3 D |
| Dinamo Bucharest II | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 6 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Progresul Mogosoaia (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Steaua Bucharest II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/10 | CS Omega Sport Bucuresti Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/09 | CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III |
1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Oxigen Bucuresti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/09 | ACS Inter Ilfov Romania Liga III |
2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele Romania Liga III |
– | 0-9 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | CS Agigea Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Progresul Mogosoaia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | ACS Inter Ilfov Romania Liga III |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/09 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 23/09 | CS Omega Sport Bucuresti Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | CSO Baicoi Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Steaua Bucharest II vs Progresul Mogosoaia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Progresul Mogosoaia win (52%). Probabilities: Steaua Bucharest II 25%, draw 23%, Progresul Mogosoaia 52%.
How many goals are expected in Steaua Bucharest II vs Progresul Mogosoaia?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Steaua Bucharest II 1.41 · Progresul Mogosoaia 2.07), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Steaua Bucharest II vs Progresul Mogosoaia?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.