Football · Romania Liga III · 18/09, 16:00
Prediction: Unirea Bascov vs ACS Academica Bals
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Unirea Bascov1.2
ACS Academica Bals1.67
1X2
Unirea Bascov
Draw
ACS Academica Bals
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Unirea Bascov
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
ACS Academica Bals
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Unirea Bascov 1462 · ACS Academica Bals 1469
| Unirea Bascov | Draw | ACS Academica Bals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 24% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Unirea Bascov | ACS Academica Bals | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/0/75% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 2.3 | 0 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 4.6 / 0 |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Drobeta Turnu Severin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | CSM Targu Jiu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Minerul Lupeni | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | ACSO Filiasi | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | CS U Craiova II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | ACS Academica Bals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | AS FC Pausesti-Otasau | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 9 | Unirea Bascov | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Jiul Petrosani | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 11 | Oltul Curtisoara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 | ACS Petrolul Hartiesti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Unirea Bascov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/09 | FC Drobeta Turnu Severin Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | ACS Medias 2022 Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | CS Viitorul Daesti Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | CS Gilortul Targu Carbunesti Romania Liga III |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | CSM Targu Jiu Romania Liga III |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | FC Inter Sibiu Romania Liga III |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
ACS Academica Bals
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Romania Liga III |
5-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga III |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 01/05 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Unirea Bascov vs ACS Academica Bals?
According to our model, the most likely result is an ACS Academica Bals win (48%). Probabilities: Unirea Bascov 27%, draw 25%, ACS Academica Bals 48%.
How many goals are expected in Unirea Bascov vs ACS Academica Bals?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Unirea Bascov 1.2 · ACS Academica Bals 1.67), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Unirea Bascov vs ACS Academica Bals?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.