Football · Romania Liga III · 09/10, 18:00

Prediction: CSM Targu Jiu vs Unirea Bascov

Team pages: CSM Targu Jiu · Unirea Bascov

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
CSM Targu Jiu2.34
Unirea Bascov0.9
1X2
68% 20% 12%
CSM Targu Jiu Draw Unirea Bascov
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
CSM Targu Jiu 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWWDDLWW
Unirea Bascov 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWLDLLWWDD
Head-to-head
CSM Targu Jiu 2–1 Unirea Bascov (3 last)
  • CSM Targu Jiu3-1Unirea Bascov
  • CSM Targu Jiu3-2Unirea Bascov
  • Unirea Bascov3-0CSM Targu Jiu
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Targu Jiu 1574 · Unirea Bascov 1493
CSM Targu JiuDrawUnirea Bascov
Our model69%19%12%
Market68%20%12%
Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Targu Jiu (rating 1574 vs 1493).
  • H2H favours CSM Targu Jiu: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CSM Targu JiuUnirea Bascov
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.21.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 6.82.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.44.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Targu Jiu 2–0–1 Unirea Bascov

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/04/26
Romania Liga III
CSM Targu Jiu3-1
HT 2-1
Unirea Bascov
07/11/25
Romania Liga III
CSM Targu Jiu3-2
HT 0-1
Unirea Bascov
29/08/25
Romania Liga III
Unirea Bascov3-0
HT 1-0
CSM Targu Jiu

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 6

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Drobeta Turnu Severin 7511 15516
2 Minerul Lupeni 7502 9315
3 CSM Targu Jiu 7421 15714
4 CS U Craiova II 7331 13812
5 ACSO Filiasi 7322 131311
6 Jiul Petrosani 7322 11811
7 Unirea Bascov 7232 1299
8 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau 7151 778
9 CS Vulturii Farcasesti 7223 13148
10 ACS Academica Bals 7205 10126
11 Oltul Curtisoara 7205 8156
12 ACS Petrolul Hartiesti 7007 3280

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCSM Targu JiuUnirea Bascov
ACS Petrolul Hartiesti 6-1 W 6-0 W
ACS Academica Bals 1-0 W 3-1 W
Minerul Lupeni 0-1 L 0-3 L
FC Drobeta Turnu Severin 1-1 D 0-2 L
AS FC Pausesti-Otasau 1-1 D 1-1 D
ACS Medias 2022 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Unirea Bascov (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Targu Jiu

DWLWWDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/10 ACS Petrolul Hartiesti
Romania Liga III
– 6-1 –– W
25/09 ACS Academica Bals
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
22/09 Minerul Lupeni
Romania Liga III
– 0-1 –– L
18/09 FC Drobeta Turnu Severin
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-1 36 D
12/09 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau
Romania Liga III
– 1-1 –– D
04/09 ACSO Filiasi
Romania Liga III
2-0 3-1 74 W
29/08 Oltul Curtisoara
Romania Liga III
1-1 3-2 910 W
15/05 FC Inter Sibiu
Romania Liga III
0-2 2-4 85 L
09/05 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau
Romania Liga III
– 2-0 –– W
01/05 ACS Medias 2022
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 73 D

Unirea Bascov

WWLDLLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/10 Jiul Petrosani
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-1 72 D
26/09 CS U Craiova II
Romania Liga III
– 1-1 –– D
23/09 ACS Petrolul Hartiesti
Romania Liga III
2-0 6-0 24 W
18/09 ACS Academica Bals
Romania Liga III
1-1 3-1 69 W
12/09 Minerul Lupeni
Romania Liga III
– 0-3 –– L
04/09 FC Drobeta Turnu Severin
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-2 07 L
29/08 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau
Romania Liga III
– 1-1 –– D
16/05 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau
Romania Liga III
– 0-1 –– L
08/05 ACS Medias 2022
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
01/05 CS Viitorul Daesti
Romania Liga III
1-0 4-0 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Targu Jiu vs Unirea Bascov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSM Targu Jiu win (68%). Probabilities: CSM Targu Jiu 68%, draw 20%, Unirea Bascov 12%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Targu Jiu vs Unirea Bascov?

The model expects 3.24 goals (CSM Targu Jiu 2.34 · Unirea Bascov 0.9), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Targu Jiu vs Unirea Bascov?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.