Football · Romania Liga III · 16/10, 14:00

Prediction: Unirea Bascov vs CS Vulturii Farcasesti

Team pages: Unirea Bascov · CS Vulturii Farcasesti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Unirea Bascov1.23

CS Vulturii Farcasesti2.02

1X2

22% 23% 55%

Unirea Bascov Draw CS Vulturii Farcasesti

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Unirea Bascov 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWWDDL

CS Vulturii Farcasesti 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWLDLWLW

Head-to-head

Unirea Bascov 1–3 CS Vulturii Farcasesti (4 last)

Unirea Bascov2-3CS Vulturii Farcasesti
CS Vulturii Farcasesti2-1Unirea Bascov
Unirea Bascov6-3CS Vulturii Farcasesti
CS Vulturii Farcasesti1-0Unirea Bascov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unirea Bascov 1474 · CS Vulturii Farcasesti 1485

	Unirea Bascov	Draw	CS Vulturii Farcasesti
Our model	22%	23%	55%
Market	22%	22%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CS Vulturii Farcasesti: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Unirea Bascov	CS Vulturii Farcasesti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.2	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	5.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:50 +16’	4.00	4.00	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Unirea Bascov 1–0–3 CS Vulturii Farcasesti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Romania Liga III	Unirea Bascov	2-3 HT 2-3	CS Vulturii Farcasesti
18/10/25 Romania Liga III	CS Vulturii Farcasesti	2-1	Unirea Bascov
15/11/24 Romania Liga III	Unirea Bascov	6-3 HT 3-0	CS Vulturii Farcasesti
13/09/24 Romania Liga III	CS Vulturii Farcasesti	1-0	Unirea Bascov

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Drobeta Turnu Severin	8	6	1	1	19	5	19
2	Minerul Lupeni	8	6	0	2	10	3	18
3	CSM Targu Jiu	8	5	2	1	16	7	17
4	CS U Craiova II	8	4	3	1	17	9	15
5	ACSO Filiasi	8	3	2	3	13	14	11
6	Jiul Petrosani	8	3	2	3	12	12	11
7	CS Vulturii Farcasesti	8	3	2	3	16	14	11
8	Unirea Bascov	8	2	3	3	12	10	9
9	Oltul Curtisoara	8	3	0	5	10	16	9
10	AS FC Pausesti-Otasau	8	1	5	2	7	11	8
11	ACS Academica Bals	8	2	0	6	11	14	6
12	ACS Petrolul Hartiesti	8	0	0	8	3	31	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unirea Bascov	CS Vulturii Farcasesti
CS U Craiova II	1-1 D	0-0 D
ACS Petrolul Hartiesti	6-0 W	3-0 W
ACS Academica Bals	3-1 W	2-3 L
Minerul Lupeni	0-3 L	2-1 W
FC Drobeta Turnu Severin	0-2 L	2-3 L
AS FC Pausesti-Otasau	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unirea Bascov

WLDLLWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	CSM Targu Jiu Romania Liga III	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
02/10	Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
26/09	CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/09	ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Romania Liga III	2-0	6-0	2	4	W
18/09	ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III	1-1	3-1	6	9	W
12/09	Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
04/09	FC Drobeta Turnu Severin Romania Liga III	0-1	0-2	0	7	L
29/08	AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/05	ACS Medias 2022 Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W

CS Vulturii Farcasesti

LLDWLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Romania Liga III	–	3-0	9	2	W
02/10	ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III	–	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III	2-0	2-1	3	8	W
23/09	FC Drobeta Turnu Severin Romania Liga III	1-1	2-3	1	8	L
19/09	AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/09	ACSO Filiasi Romania Liga III	–	2-4	–	–	L
05/09	Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III	0-1	3-1	8	6	W
29/08	CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
22/05	Cetatea Turnu Magurele Romania Liga III	–	2-4	–	–	L
15/05	CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III	0-1	0-4	2	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unirea Bascov vs CS Vulturii Farcasesti?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Vulturii Farcasesti win (55%). Probabilities: Unirea Bascov 22%, draw 23%, CS Vulturii Farcasesti 55%.

How many goals are expected in Unirea Bascov vs CS Vulturii Farcasesti?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Unirea Bascov 1.23 · CS Vulturii Farcasesti 2.02), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Unirea Bascov vs CS Vulturii Farcasesti?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.