Football · Romania Liga III · 06/11, 16:00

Prediction: CSM Targu Jiu vs Oltul Curtisoara

Team pages: CSM Targu Jiu · Oltul Curtisoara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

CSM Targu Jiu2.09

Oltul Curtisoara1.07

1X2

60% 22% 18%

CSM Targu Jiu Draw Oltul Curtisoara

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CSM Targu Jiu 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWWLDW

Oltul Curtisoara 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

CSM Targu Jiu 1–0 Oltul Curtisoara (1 last)

Oltul Curtisoara2-3CSM Targu Jiu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Targu Jiu 1548 · Oltul Curtisoara 1522

	CSM Targu Jiu	Draw	Oltul Curtisoara
Our model	60%	22%	18%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSM Targu Jiu	Oltul Curtisoara
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	67/0/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.5	1.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.10

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:41 +24’	1.50	4.10	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Targu Jiu 1–0–0 Oltul Curtisoara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Romania Liga III	Oltul Curtisoara	2-3 HT 1-1	CSM Targu Jiu

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Drobeta TR Severin	11	8	2	1	25	6	26
2	Minerul Lupeni	11	7	1	3	12	7	22
3	CSM Targu Jiu	11	6	3	2	18	10	21
4	Oltul Curtisoara	11	6	0	5	19	19	18
5	CS U Craiova II	11	4	4	3	18	13	16
6	Unirea Bascov	11	4	3	4	17	14	15
7	ACSO Filiasi	11	4	3	4	17	17	15
8	AS FC Pausesti-Otasau	11	3	6	2	13	13	15
9	Jiul Petrosani	11	4	3	4	14	15	15
10	CS Vulturii Farcasesti	11	3	3	5	17	17	12
11	ACS Academica Bals	11	2	2	7	13	17	8
12	ACS Petrolul Hartiesti	11	0	0	11	4	39	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSM Targu Jiu	Oltul Curtisoara
CS Vulturii Farcasesti	2-1 W	1-3 L
CS U Craiova II	0-0 D	1-4 L
Jiul Petrosani	0-2 L	3-0 W
Unirea Bascov	1-0 W	4-2 W
ACS Petrolul Hartiesti	6-1 W	2-1 W
ACS Academica Bals	1-0 W	2-1 W
Minerul Lupeni	0-1 L	0-2 L
FC Drobeta Turnu Severin	1-1 D	2-0 W
AS FC Pausesti-Otasau	1-1 D	1-0 W
ACSO Filiasi	3-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CSM Targu Jiu (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Targu Jiu

WDDLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	CS Vulturii Farcasesti Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
23/10	CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
17/10	Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
09/10	Unirea Bascov Romania Liga III	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
02/10	ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Romania Liga III	–	6-1	–	–	W
25/09	ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/09	Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/09	FC Drobeta Turnu Severin Romania Liga III	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/09	ACSO Filiasi Romania Liga III	2-0	3-1	7	4	W

Oltul Curtisoara

LLLWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
24/10	Unirea Bascov Romania Liga III	–	4-2	–	–	W
17/10	ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Romania Liga III	–	2-1	6	10	W
10/10	ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	FC Drobeta Turnu Severin Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/09	AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	ACSO Filiasi Romania Liga III	0-1	1-3	4	2	L
12/09	CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III	–	1-4	–	–	L
05/09	CS Vulturii Farcasesti Romania Liga III	1-0	1-3	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Targu Jiu vs Oltul Curtisoara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSM Targu Jiu win (60%). Probabilities: CSM Targu Jiu 60%, draw 22%, Oltul Curtisoara 18%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Targu Jiu vs Oltul Curtisoara?

The model expects 3.17 goals (CSM Targu Jiu 2.09 · Oltul Curtisoara 1.07), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Targu Jiu vs Oltul Curtisoara?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.