Football · Romania Liga III · 18/09, 16:00

Prediction: CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia

Team pages: CS Metalurgistul Cugir · Unirea Alba Iulia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

CS Metalurgistul Cugir1.07

Unirea Alba Iulia2.1

1X2

18% 22% 60%

CS Metalurgistul Cugir Draw Unirea Alba Iulia

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Metalurgistul Cugir 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLDLDL

Unirea Alba Iulia 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWLWLD

Head-to-head

CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1–2–3 Unirea Alba Iulia (6 last)

CS Metalurgistul Cugir0-4Unirea Alba Iulia
Unirea Alba Iulia1-2CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Unirea Alba Iulia1-1CS Metalurgistul Cugir
CS Metalurgistul Cugir0-2Unirea Alba Iulia
Unirea Alba Iulia2-2CS Metalurgistul Cugir
CS Metalurgistul Cugir1-2Unirea Alba Iulia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1421 · Unirea Alba Iulia 1562

	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	Draw	Unirea Alba Iulia
Our model	18%	22%	60%
Market	18%	22%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unirea Alba Iulia (rating 1421 vs 1562).
H2H favours Unirea Alba Iulia: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	Unirea Alba Iulia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.3	1.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	63/13/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.10

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.98

2 (-1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +10’	5.00	4.10	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1–2–3 Unirea Alba Iulia

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/11/25 Romania Liga III	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	0-4 HT 0-1	Unirea Alba Iulia
30/08/25 Romania Liga III	Unirea Alba Iulia	1-2 HT 0-1	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
08/11/24 Romania Liga III	Unirea Alba Iulia	1-1 HT 1-0	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
06/09/24 Romania Liga III	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	0-2 HT 0-0	Unirea Alba Iulia
11/05/24 Romania Liga III	Unirea Alba Iulia	2-2	CS Metalurgistul Cugir
12/04/24 Romania Liga III	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	1-2 HT 0-1	Unirea Alba Iulia

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Deva	3	2	1	0	8	3	7
2	CS Timisul Sag	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
3	ACS CIL Blaj	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
4	ACS Progresul Pecica	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
5	Unirea Alba Iulia	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
6	Stinta Poli Timisoara 2	3	1	0	2	6	11	3
7	CS Unirea Santana	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
8	ACS Viitorul Arad	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
9	CSU Alba Iulia	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
10	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
11	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
12	FC Nera Bogodinti	2	0	1	1	0	2	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	Unirea Alba Iulia
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	3-3 D	0-0 D
ACS CIL Blaj	0-2 L	1-2 L
CS Minaur Baia Mare	3-3 D	1-1 D
CS Sanatatea Cluj	2-3 L	1-0 W
AFC Unirea Tasnad	1-1 D	4-0 W
SCM Zalau	0-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Unirea Alba Iulia (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Metalurgistul Cugir

LLLLDLDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
04/09	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	1-2	3-3	3	3	D
29/08	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
22/05	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	1-1	3-3	3	6	D
15/05	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
08/05	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	1-1	1-1	7	7	D
02/05	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
25/04	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	–	1-4	–	–	L
17/04	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/04	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L

Unirea Alba Iulia

DDWWWWLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
05/09	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	1-0	1-2	5	8	L
29/08	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/06	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga III	0-1	0-2	7	8	L
30/05	Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
23/05	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
16/05	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	–	4-0	–	–	W
09/05	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	3-0	3-0	4	2	W
02/05	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
24/04	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	0-1	1-1	8	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Unirea Alba Iulia win (60%). Probabilities: CS Metalurgistul Cugir 18%, draw 22%, Unirea Alba Iulia 60%.

How many goals are expected in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia?

The model expects 3.17 goals (CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1.07 · Unirea Alba Iulia 2.1), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.