Football · Romania Liga III · 16/10, 14:00
Prediction: CSU Alba Iulia vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Team pages: CSU Alba Iulia · Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
CSU Alba Iulia1.44
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII1.97
1X2
CSU Alba Iulia
Draw
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
CSU Alba Iulia
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSU Alba Iulia
0–3
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
(3 last)
- Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII4-0CSU Alba Iulia
- CSU Alba Iulia1-3Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
- Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII2-0CSU Alba Iulia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSU Alba Iulia 1432 · Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 1514
| CSU Alba Iulia | Draw | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| Market | 27% | 24% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII (rating 1432 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSU Alba Iulia | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.1 | 2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 44/22/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 5 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.6 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSU Alba Iulia 0–0–3 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Romania Liga III | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII | 4-0 HT 2-0 | CSU Alba Iulia |
| 12/12/25 Romania Liga III | CSU Alba Iulia | 1-3 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII |
| 26/09/25 Romania Liga III | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CSU Alba Iulia |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | ACS CIL Blaj | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | CS Timisul Sag | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | CS Unirea Santana | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | CSM Deva | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 15 |
| 6 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | ACS Viitorul Arad | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | ACS Progresul Pecica | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 10 |
| 9 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 6 |
| 10 | SSU Politehnica Timisoara II | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 4 |
| 11 | CSU Alba Iulia | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Nera Bogodinti | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSU Alba Iulia | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII |
|---|---|---|
| CS Timisul Sag | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| ACS Progresul Pecica | 0-6 L | 5-0 W |
| CSM Deva | 0-0 D | 1-5 L |
| ACS Viitorul Arad | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Nera Bogodinti | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSU Alba Iulia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/10 | CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/09 | CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/09 | ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 18/09 | CSM Deva Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 11/09 | Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 Romania Liga III |
– | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 6-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | CSM Deva Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/09 | ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/08 | CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSU Alba Iulia vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII win (49%). Probabilities: CSU Alba Iulia 27%, draw 24%, Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 49%.
How many goals are expected in CSU Alba Iulia vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII?
The model expects 3.42 goals (CSU Alba Iulia 1.44 · Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 1.97), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CSU Alba Iulia vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.