Football · Romania Liga III · 06/11, 12:00

Prediction: ACS Progresul Pecica vs ACS Viitorul Arad

Team pages: ACS Progresul Pecica · ACS Viitorul Arad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

ACS Progresul Pecica1.13

ACS Viitorul Arad2.06

1X2

20% 22% 58%

ACS Progresul Pecica Draw ACS Viitorul Arad

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

ACS Progresul Pecica 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLLLW

ACS Viitorul Arad 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDWLWWWW

Head-to-head

ACS Progresul Pecica 1–1–4 ACS Viitorul Arad (6 last)

ACS Viitorul Arad0-0ACS Progresul Pecica
ACS Viitorul Arad2-0ACS Progresul Pecica
ACS Progresul Pecica0-1ACS Viitorul Arad
ACS Viitorul Arad2-1ACS Progresul Pecica
ACS Viitorul Arad3-1ACS Progresul Pecica
ACS Progresul Pecica3-0ACS Viitorul Arad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ACS Progresul Pecica 1465 · ACS Viitorul Arad 1561

	ACS Progresul Pecica	Draw	ACS Viitorul Arad
Our model	19%	23%	58%
Market	20%	22%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Viitorul Arad (rating 1465 vs 1561).
H2H favours ACS Viitorul Arad: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ACS Progresul Pecica	ACS Viitorul Arad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.5	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.4	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/0/80%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.8	3.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	5.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.10

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.90

2 (-1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:48 +15’	4.50	4.10	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ACS Progresul Pecica 1–1–4 ACS Viitorul Arad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Romania Liga III	ACS Viitorul Arad	0-0 HT 0-0	ACS Progresul Pecica
07/11/25 Romania Liga III	ACS Viitorul Arad	2-0 HT 0-0	ACS Progresul Pecica
30/08/25 Romania Liga III	ACS Progresul Pecica	0-1 HT 0-1	ACS Viitorul Arad
06/08/25 Romania Cup	ACS Viitorul Arad	2-1 HT 2-0	ACS Progresul Pecica
16/11/24 Romania Liga III	ACS Viitorul Arad	3-1	ACS Progresul Pecica
14/09/24 Romania Liga III	ACS Progresul Pecica	3-0 HT 2-0	ACS Viitorul Arad

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	11	8	2	1	32	5	26
2	CS Timisul Sag	11	7	2	2	17	7	23
3	ACS Viitorul Arad	11	6	3	2	19	14	21
4	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	11	5	4	2	20	14	19
5	ACS CIL Blaj	11	5	4	2	21	18	19
6	CSM Deva	11	5	3	3	24	19	18
7	CS Unirea Santana	11	5	2	4	15	9	17
8	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	11	3	4	4	14	16	13
9	ACS Progresul Pecica	11	4	1	6	18	25	13
10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	11	2	1	8	12	27	7
11	CSU Alba Iulia	11	0	4	7	7	22	4
12	FC Nera Bogodinti	11	0	2	9	5	28	2

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ACS Progresul Pecica	ACS Viitorul Arad
FC Nera Bogodinti	2-1 W	4-1 W
Unirea Alba Iulia	0-4 L	0-4 L
CS Metalurgistul Cugir	1-2 L	3-1 W
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	0-5 L	1-1 D
ACS CIL Blaj	2-1 W	1-3 L
CS Unirea Santana	1-4 L	1-0 W
CSU Alba Iulia	6-0 W	2-2 D
CS Timisul Sag	0-3 L	1-0 W
CSM Deva	1-3 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 6 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ACS Viitorul Arad (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ACS Progresul Pecica

WLLWLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
24/10	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-2	0-4	5	3	L
17/10	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	1-0	1-2	6	7	L
09/10	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	0-2	0-5	1	2	L
03/10	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	–	1-4	–	–	L
22/09	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	–	6-0	–	–	W
18/09	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	0-2	0-3	3	6	L
11/09	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	–	1-3	–	–	L
04/09	Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 Romania Liga III	–	5-2	–	–	W

ACS Viitorul Arad

DWLDWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
24/10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/10	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
03/10	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	–	0-4	–	–	L
26/09	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	2-1	3-1	0	4	W
23/09	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	1-0	1-1	9	4	D
18/09	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	0-2	1-3	7	9	L
12/09	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/09	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-1	2-2	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ACS Progresul Pecica vs ACS Viitorul Arad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ACS Viitorul Arad win (58%). Probabilities: ACS Progresul Pecica 20%, draw 22%, ACS Viitorul Arad 58%.

How many goals are expected in ACS Progresul Pecica vs ACS Viitorul Arad?

The model expects 3.19 goals (ACS Progresul Pecica 1.13 · ACS Viitorul Arad 2.06), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ACS Progresul Pecica vs ACS Viitorul Arad?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.