Football · Romania Liga III · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: CS Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Dej

Team pages: CS Minaur Baia Mare · Unirea Dej

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

CS Minaur Baia Mare2.41

Unirea Dej0.74

1X2

74% 17% 9%

CS Minaur Baia Mare Draw Unirea Dej

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Minaur Baia Mare 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWDWWL

Unirea Dej 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWLDLLLW

Head-to-head

CS Minaur Baia Mare 3–1–2 Unirea Dej (6 last)

CS Minaur Baia Mare3-0Unirea Dej
Unirea Dej1-2CS Minaur Baia Mare
Unirea Dej4-0CS Minaur Baia Mare
Unirea Dej1-1CS Minaur Baia Mare
Unirea Dej0-1CS Minaur Baia Mare
Unirea Dej3-1CS Minaur Baia Mare

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Minaur Baia Mare 1554 · Unirea Dej 1438

	CS Minaur Baia Mare	Draw	Unirea Dej
Our model	74%	18%	9%
Market	74%	17%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Minaur Baia Mare (rating 1554 vs 1438).
H2H favours CS Minaur Baia Mare: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Minaur Baia Mare	Unirea Dej
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	0.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/57/29%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.25

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.82

2 (+1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:19 +11’	1.22	5.25	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Minaur Baia Mare 3–1–2 Unirea Dej

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Romania Liga III	CS Minaur Baia Mare	3-0 HT 2-0	Unirea Dej
31/10/25 Romania Liga III	Unirea Dej	1-2 HT 1-1	CS Minaur Baia Mare
08/07/23 Europe Friendlies	Unirea Dej	4-0 HT 2-0	CS Minaur Baia Mare
03/12/22 Romania Liga 2	Unirea Dej	1-1 HT 0-1	CS Minaur Baia Mare
08/09/21 Romania Cup	Unirea Dej	0-1 HT 0-0	CS Minaur Baia Mare
15/05/21 Romania Liga III	Unirea Dej	3-1 HT 1-1	CS Minaur Baia Mare

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Lotus Baile Felix	3	3	0	0	10	2	9
2	CF Bihorul Beius	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
3	CS Crisul Santandrei	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
4	CS Minaur Baia Mare	3	2	0	1	5	3	6
5	CS Sanatatea Cluj	3	1	2	0	6	1	5
6	Sighetu Marmatiei	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
7	SCM Zalau	3	1	1	1	2	1	4
8	Unirea Dej	3	1	0	2	3	4	3
9	CS Academica Recea	3	1	0	2	2	6	3
10	ACS Viitorul Cluj	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
11	AFC Unirea Tasnad	3	0	1	2	1	9	1
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	3	0	0	3	1	10	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Minaur Baia Mare	Unirea Dej
CS Crisul Santandrei	0-1 L	1-5 L
CS Academica Recea	3-1 W	3-0 W
Sighetu Marmatiei	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CS Minaur Baia Mare (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Minaur Baia Mare

LWWDLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
05/09	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	9	9	W
22/05	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	1-1	3-3	6	6	D
16/05	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
09/05	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
02/05	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
25/04	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
17/04	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
10/04	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga III	0-1	1-2	0	9	L

Unirea Dej

LDLWLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	–	3-0	6	7	W
04/09	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
15/05	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
09/05	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
01/05	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	–	1-5	–	–	L
25/04	FC Olimpia Satu Mare Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
17/04	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
03/04	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
28/03	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	0-2	0-3	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Dej?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Minaur Baia Mare win (74%). Probabilities: CS Minaur Baia Mare 74%, draw 17%, Unirea Dej 9%.

How many goals are expected in CS Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Dej?

The model expects 3.16 goals (CS Minaur Baia Mare 2.41 · Unirea Dej 0.74), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Dej?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.