Football · Romania Liga III · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari II

Team pages: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti · FC Voluntari II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti1.97

FC Voluntari II1.21

1X2

54% 24% 22%

AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti Draw FC Voluntari II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLLWL

FC Voluntari II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDLWL

Head-to-head

AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 4–1–0 FC Voluntari II (5 last)

FC Voluntari II0-1AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti3-1FC Voluntari II
FC Voluntari II0-3AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti2-0FC Voluntari II
FC Voluntari II2-2AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 1486 · FC Voluntari II 1425

	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	Draw	FC Voluntari II
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti (rating 1486 vs 1425).
H2H favours AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	FC Voluntari II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.2	1.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.75

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +7’	1.67	3.75	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 4–1–0 FC Voluntari II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/11/20 Romania Liga III	FC Voluntari II	0-1 HT 0-0	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
12/09/20 Romania Liga III	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	3-1 HT 2-1	FC Voluntari II
15/11/19 Romania Liga III	FC Voluntari II	0-3 HT 0-1	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
03/04/18 Romania Liga III	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Voluntari II
15/09/17 Romania Liga III	FC Voluntari II	2-2 HT 1-1	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Omega Sport Bucuresti	7	5	2	0	9	4	17
2	ACS Inter Ilfov	7	4	2	1	18	11	14
3	CSM Alexandria	7	4	2	1	12	6	14
4	Dunarea Giurgiu	7	3	4	0	12	7	13
5	Acs Axi Arena	7	4	0	3	6	6	12
6	Cetatea Turnu Magurele	7	2	3	2	19	11	9
7	Dinamo Bucharest II	7	3	0	4	8	12	9
8	Progresul Mogosoaia	7	2	3	2	9	11	9
9	Oxigen Bucuresti	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
10	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	7	2	0	5	9	9	6
11	FC Voluntari II	7	1	1	5	6	11	4
12	Steaua Bucharest II	7	1	0	6	7	22	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	FC Voluntari II
Acs Axi Arena	1-2 L	0-1 L
Progresul Mogosoaia	1-2 L	0-1 L
CSM Alexandria	0-1 L	0-2 L
Oxigen Bucuresti	5-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

LWWWLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
23/09	Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	CS Omega Sport Bucuresti Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
12/09	Progresul Mogosoaia Romania Liga III	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
04/09	CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Oxigen Bucuresti Romania Liga III	–	5-1	7	2	W
15/05	Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III	4-0	8-0	6	5	W
09/05	Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III	0-1	4-2	5	7	W
25/04	Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L

FC Voluntari II

LLLLLLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
25/09	Oxigen Bucuresti Romania Liga III	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
22/09	ACS Inter Ilfov Romania Liga III	1-2	2-3	2	6	L
18/09	Cetatea Turnu Magurele Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/09	Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III	–	0-1	6	2	L
04/09	Progresul Mogosoaia Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/08	Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
16/05	Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III	–	3-4	–	–	L
08/05	Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
02/05	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	0-0	0-3	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti win (54%). Probabilities: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 54%, draw 24%, FC Voluntari II 22%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari II?

The model expects 3.18 goals (AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 1.97 · FC Voluntari II 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.