Football · Romania Liga III · 19/09, 19:00

Prediction: Jiul Petrosani vs Minerul Lupeni

Team pages: Jiul Petrosani · Minerul Lupeni

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Jiul Petrosani0.63
Minerul Lupeni1.39
1X2
18% 26% 56%
Jiul Petrosani Draw Minerul Lupeni
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-1 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Jiul Petrosani 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLLWDLLLDL
Minerul Lupeni 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Jiul Petrosani 2–1–2 Minerul Lupeni (5 last)
  • Jiul Petrosani0-1Minerul Lupeni
  • Jiul Petrosani0-1Minerul Lupeni
  • Minerul Lupeni0-2Jiul Petrosani
  • Jiul Petrosani1-0Minerul Lupeni
  • Minerul Lupeni0-0Jiul Petrosani
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiul Petrosani 1453 · Minerul Lupeni 1579
Jiul PetrosaniDrawMinerul Lupeni
Our model16%30%54%
Market20%22%58%
Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Minerul Lupeni (rating 1453 vs 1579).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jiul PetrosaniMinerul Lupeni
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.61.8 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.70.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/33/67%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)0 / 0.72 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.35 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiul Petrosani 212 Minerul Lupeni

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/08/26
Romania Cup
Jiul Petrosani0-1
HT 0-0
Minerul Lupeni
15/11/25
Romania Liga III
Jiul Petrosani0-1Minerul Lupeni
06/09/25
Romania Liga III
Minerul Lupeni0-2Jiul Petrosani
06/08/25
Romania Cup
Jiul Petrosani1-0
HT 0-0
Minerul Lupeni
31/07/24
Romania Cup
Minerul Lupeni0-0
HT 0-0
Jiul Petrosani

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 6

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Drobeta Turnu Severin 4310 9110
2 CS U Craiova II 4310 10410
3 Minerul Lupeni 3300 509
4 CSM Targu Jiu 4220 858
5 ACSO Filiasi 3201 766
6 CS Vulturii Farcasesti 3111 554
7 Unirea Bascov 4112 474
8 ACS Academica Bals 4103 773
9 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau 3030 333
10 Jiul Petrosani 3012 271
11 Oltul Curtisoara 3003 4100
12 ACS Petrolul Hartiesti 4004 2110

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJiul PetrosaniMinerul Lupeni
ACS Academica Bals 0-2 L 1-0 W
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 0-2 L 2-0 W
CS U Craiova II 1-1 D 3-0 W
ACS Inter Ilfov 4-0 W 6-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Minerul Lupeni (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiul Petrosani

DLLWDLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 FC Drobeta Turnu Severin
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-4 03 L
05/09 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau
Romania Liga III
1-1 D
28/08 ACSO Filiasi
Romania Liga III
1-2 L
22/05 ACS Academica Bals
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-2 24 L
16/05 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Romania Liga III
0-2 L
09/05 CS U Craiova II
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 04 D
02/05 ACS Inter Ilfov
Romania Liga III
4-0 W
25/04 ACS Academica Bals
Romania Liga III
1-2 L
17/04 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Romania Liga III
0-1 L
10/04 CS U Craiova II
Romania Liga III
1-1 D

Minerul Lupeni

DDWWWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Unirea Bascov
Romania Liga III
3-0 W
05/09 ACS Petrolul Hartiesti
Romania Liga III
1-0 W
29/08 ACS Academica Bals
Romania Liga III
1-0 W
30/05 Unirea Alba Iulia
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-3 22 L
23/05 CS U Craiova II
Romania Liga III
2-0 3-0 26 W
16/05 ACS Inter Ilfov
Romania Liga III
6-0 W
08/05 ACS Academica Bals
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-0 48 W
02/05 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-0 65 W
25/04 CS U Craiova II
Romania Liga III
0-0 D
17/04 ACS Inter Ilfov
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-1 95 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiul Petrosani vs Minerul Lupeni?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Minerul Lupeni win (56%). Probabilities: Jiul Petrosani 18%, draw 26%, Minerul Lupeni 56%.

How many goals are expected in Jiul Petrosani vs Minerul Lupeni?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Jiul Petrosani 0.63 · Minerul Lupeni 1.39), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jiul Petrosani vs Minerul Lupeni?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.