Football · Vietnam V-League · 08/10, 14:15

Prediction: Viettel FC vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh

Team pages: Viettel FC · Hong Linh Ha Tinh

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.99Total

Viettel FC1.44

Hong Linh Ha Tinh0.54

1X2

59% 27% 14%

Viettel FC Draw Hong Linh Ha Tinh

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Viettel FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDDWWL

Hong Linh Ha Tinh 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDDLLW

Head-to-head

Viettel FC 3–3–0 Hong Linh Ha Tinh (6 last)

Hong Linh Ha Tinh0-2Viettel FC
Viettel FC2-0Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Hong Linh Ha Tinh2-2Viettel FC
Viettel FC1-1Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Hong Linh Ha Tinh1-1Viettel FC
Viettel FC1-0Hong Linh Ha Tinh

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viettel FC 1532 · Hong Linh Ha Tinh 1483

	Viettel FC	Draw	Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Our model	58%	29%	13%
Market	60%	26%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viettel FC (rating 1532 vs 1483).
H2H favours Viettel FC: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viettel FC	Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.9	2.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.50

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 10:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.50▼	Pinn 1.51
X	3.30 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.68 ★
2	5.25 → 6.25▲	Pinn 6.26

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:40 +14’	1.61	3.30	5.25
15:57 +7’	1.53▼	3.50▲	6.00▲
07:48 +5’	1.48▼	3.60▲	6.50▲
10:26 +27’	1.50▲	3.50▼	6.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:40 +15’	1.64	3.54	5.04
15:22 +42’	1.47▼	3.91▲	6.40▲
22:33 +121’	1.47▲	3.89▼	6.39▼
02:15 +137’	1.49▲	3.82▼	6.29▼
10:17 +36’	1.51▲	3.68▼	6.26▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viettel FC 3–3–0 Hong Linh Ha Tinh

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Vietnam V-League	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	0-2 HT 0-2	Viettel FC
28/09/25 Vietnam V-League	Viettel FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Hong Linh Ha Tinh
11/04/25 Vietnam V-League	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	2-2 HT 0-1	Viettel FC
10/11/24 Vietnam V-League	Viettel FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Hong Linh Ha Tinh
15/06/24 Vietnam V-League	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	1-1 HT 0-0	Viettel FC
04/11/23 Vietnam V-League	Viettel FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Hong Linh Ha Tinh

Standings · Vietnam V-League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cong An Ha Noi	3	3	0	6	0	9
2	Ninh Binh	2	2	0	6	2	6
3	Song Lam Nghe An	2	2	0	5	1	6
4	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	3	2	1	4	3	6
5	Da Nang	2	1	1	5	3	3
6	Thanh Hoa	2	1	1	4	4	3
7	Bac Ninh	2	1	1	1	1	3
8	Hai Phong	2	1	1	4	5	3
9	Viettel FC	3	1	2	3	4	3
10	Cong An HCMC	2	1	1	3	2	3
11	Nam Dinh	2	1	1	4	3	3
12	Ha Noi FC	2	0	2	2	7	0
13	Hoang Anh Gia Lai	2	0	2	1	7	0
14	Dong Nai City	3	0	3	0	6	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viettel FC	Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Cong An Ha Noi	0-1 L	0-2 L
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai	2-0 W	1-0 W
Cong An HCMC	1-1 D	0-1 L
PVF-CAND	1-1 D	0-0 D
Ninh Binh	1-1 D	0-3 L
Da Nang	3-3 D	0-0 D
Hoang Anh Gia Lai	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Viettel FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viettel FC

WDDWWDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Cong An Ha Noi Vietnam V-League	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
04/09	Truong Tuoi Dong Nai Vietnam V-League	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
07/06	Cong An Ha Noi Vietnam V-League	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
31/05	Cong An HCMC Vietnam V-League	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
22/05	PVF-CAND Vietnam V-League	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
17/05	Nam Dinh Vietnam V-League	2-0	2-0	0	4	W
10/05	Hong Linh Ha Tinh Vietnam V-League	2-0	2-0	8	7	W
03/05	Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
26/04	Da Nang Vietnam V-League	2-2	3-3	7	5	D
19/04	Hoang Anh Gia Lai Vietnam V-League	0-0	1-0	2	5	W

Hong Linh Ha Tinh

WLDLWDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Truong Tuoi Dong Nai Vietnam V-League	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
05/09	Cong An Ha Noi Vietnam V-League	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
07/06	Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League	0-0	0-3	8	3	L
31/05	Da Nang Vietnam V-League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	Cong An Ha Noi Vietnam V-League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
17/05	Hoang Anh Gia Lai Vietnam V-League	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
10/05	Viettel FC Vietnam V-League	0-2	0-2	7	7	L
02/05	PVF-CAND Vietnam V-League	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
26/04	Cong An HCMC Vietnam V-League	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
18/04	Hai Phong Vietnam V-League	1-0	1-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viettel FC vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viettel FC win (59%). Probabilities: Viettel FC 59%, draw 27%, Hong Linh Ha Tinh 14%.

How many goals are expected in Viettel FC vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Viettel FC 1.44 · Hong Linh Ha Tinh 0.54), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Viettel FC vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.