Football · Vietnam V-League · 11/10, 13:00

Prediction: Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An HCMC

Team pages: Song Lam Nghe An · Cong An HCMC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Song Lam Nghe An1.43
Cong An HCMC1.29
1X2
39% 28% 33%
Song Lam Nghe An Draw Cong An HCMC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Song Lam Nghe An 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLLWLLWW
Cong An HCMC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWDDDDWL
Head-to-head
Song Lam Nghe An 0–3–3 Cong An HCMC (6 last)
  • Cong An HCMC3-1Song Lam Nghe An
  • Song Lam Nghe An2-3Cong An HCMC
  • Cong An HCMC1-1Song Lam Nghe An
  • Song Lam Nghe An0-0Cong An HCMC
  • Song Lam Nghe An0-0Cong An HCMC
  • Cong An HCMC1-0Song Lam Nghe An
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Song Lam Nghe An 1495 · Cong An HCMC 1520
Song Lam Nghe AnDrawCong An HCMC
Our model39%28%33%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cong An HCMC: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Song Lam Nghe AnCong An HCMC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.81.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.90.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.51.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.43.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Song Lam Nghe An 0–3–3 Cong An HCMC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Vietnam V-League
Cong An HCMC3-1
HT 1-1
Song Lam Nghe An
27/09/25
Vietnam V-League
Song Lam Nghe An2-3
HT 2-1
Cong An HCMC
06/04/25
Vietnam V-League
Cong An HCMC1-1
HT 0-0
Song Lam Nghe An
02/11/24
Vietnam V-League
Song Lam Nghe An0-0
HT 0-0
Cong An HCMC
13/05/24
Vietnam V-League
Song Lam Nghe An0-0
HT 0-0
Cong An HCMC
22/12/23
Vietnam V-League
Cong An HCMC1-0
HT 0-0
Song Lam Nghe An

Standings · Vietnam V-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3300 609
2 Ninh Binh 3210 737
3 Song Lam Nghe An 2200 516
4 Thanh Hoa 3201 656
5 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 3201 436
6 Nam Dinh 3111 544
7 Hai Phong 3102 573
8 Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3102 473
9 Bac Ninh 2101 113
10 Viettel FC 3102 343
11 Cong An HCMC 2101 323
12 Da Nang 3102 563
13 Ha Noi FC 2002 270
14 Dong Nai City 3003 060

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSong Lam Nghe AnCong An HCMC
Ha Noi FC 4-1 W 3-1 W
Bac Ninh 1-0 W 0-1 L
Nam Dinh 0-3 L 0-2 L
Ninh Binh 1-2 L 1-1 D
Cong An Ha Noi 2-4 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Song Lam Nghe An (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Song Lam Nghe An

DLLLLWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Ha Noi FC
Vietnam V-League
1-0 4-1 45 W
06/09 Bac Ninh
Vietnam V-League
0-0 1-0 64 W
07/06 PVF-CAND
Vietnam V-League
0-2 1-3 10 L
31/05 Nam Dinh
Vietnam V-League
0-2 0-3 43 L
24/05 Becamex HCMC
Vietnam V-League
0-0 1-0 58 W
16/05 Ninh Binh
Vietnam V-League
0-0 1-2 61 L
10/05 Cong An HCMC
Vietnam V-League
1-1 1-3 35 L
03/05 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Vietnam V-League
0-0 0-1 86 L
26/04 Cong An Ha Noi
Vietnam V-League
1-3 2-4 60 L
19/04 Thanh Hoa
Vietnam V-League
0-1 1-1 23 D

Cong An HCMC

LWLWDDDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Bac Ninh
Vietnam V-League
0-1 0-1 86 L
05/09 Ha Noi FC
Vietnam V-League
1-0 3-1 01 W
07/06 Ha Noi FC
Vietnam V-League
0-1 1-1 12 D
31/05 Viettel FC
Vietnam V-League
0-1 1-1 73 D
23/05 Ninh Binh
Vietnam V-League
0-1 1-1 64 D
15/05 Da Nang
Vietnam V-League
1-1 2-2 44 D
10/05 Song Lam Nghe An
Vietnam V-League
1-1 3-1 75 W
01/05 Nam Dinh
Vietnam V-League
0-0 0-2 32 L
26/04 Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Vietnam V-League
1-0 1-0 36 W
19/04 Cong An Ha Noi
Vietnam V-League
0-1 0-3 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An HCMC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Song Lam Nghe An win (39%). Probabilities: Song Lam Nghe An 39%, draw 28%, Cong An HCMC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An HCMC?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Song Lam Nghe An 1.43 · Cong An HCMC 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An HCMC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.