Football · Vietnam V-League · 17/10, 12:00

Prediction: Thanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh

Team pages: Thanh Hoa · Nam Dinh

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Thanh Hoa1.05
Nam Dinh1.56
1X2
25% 27% 49%
Thanh Hoa Draw Nam Dinh
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Thanh Hoa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLDLLWLW
Nam Dinh 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWDWLD
Head-to-head
Thanh Hoa 1–2–3 Nam Dinh (6 last)
  • Nam Dinh1-0Thanh Hoa
  • Thanh Hoa2-2Nam Dinh
  • Nam Dinh2-1Thanh Hoa
  • Thanh Hoa1-1Nam Dinh
  • Nam Dinh3-0Thanh Hoa
  • Thanh Hoa2-1Nam Dinh
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thanh Hoa 1471 · Nam Dinh 1473
Thanh HoaDrawNam Dinh
Our model24%28%48%
Market25%26%49%
Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nam Dinh: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Thanh HoaNam Dinh
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.51.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 1.92.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.33.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Thanh Hoa 1–2–3 Nam Dinh

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/03/26
Vietnam V-League
Nam Dinh1-0
HT 0-0
Thanh Hoa
01/02/26
Vietnam V-League
Thanh Hoa2-2
HT 1-2
Nam Dinh
11/05/25
Vietnam V-League
Nam Dinh2-1
HT 2-0
Thanh Hoa
14/01/25
Vietnam V-League
Thanh Hoa1-1
HT 0-0
Nam Dinh
31/08/24
Vietnam Super Cup
Nam Dinh3-0
HT 0-0
Thanh Hoa
04/07/24
Vietnam Cup
Thanh Hoa2-1
HT 1-1
Nam Dinh

Standings · Vietnam V-League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3300 609
2 Ninh Binh 3210 737
3 Song Lam Nghe An 3210 627
4 Thanh Hoa 3201 656
5 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 3201 436
6 Nam Dinh 3111 544
7 Cong An HCMC 3111 434
8 Hai Phong 3102 573
9 Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3102 473
10 Ha Noi FC 3102 373
11 Viettel FC 3102 343
12 Bac Ninh 3102 123
13 Da Nang 3102 563
14 Dong Nai City 3003 060

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentThanh HoaNam Dinh
Hai Phong 2-1 W 1-1 D
Ninh Binh 1-2 L 1-1 D
Da Nang 3-2 W 0-3 L
Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 D 4-0 W
Cong An Ha Noi 0-2 L 2-3 L
Ha Noi FC 1-0 W 1-2 L
Becamex HCMC 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thanh Hoa

WDWLDLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Hai Phong
Vietnam V-League
1-1 2-1 03 W
11/09 Ninh Binh
Vietnam V-League
0-2 1-2 22 L
06/09 Da Nang
Vietnam V-League
1-0 3-2 24 W
07/06 Da Nang
Vietnam V-League
0-1 0-4 13 L
31/05 Ninh Binh
Vietnam V-League
0-1 0-2 14 L
23/05 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Vietnam V-League
1-1 1-1 41 D
17/05 Cong An Ha Noi
Vietnam V-League
0-0 0-2 110 L
09/05 Ha Noi FC
Vietnam V-League
1-0 1-0 16 W
02/05 Becamex HCMC
Vietnam V-League
1-1 1-1 44 D
25/04 PVF-CAND
Vietnam V-League
0-0 1-0 35 W

Nam Dinh

DWLLLWDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Ninh Binh
Vietnam V-League
0-0 1-1 53 D
11/09 Da Nang
Vietnam V-League
0-0 0-3 14 L
06/09 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Vietnam V-League
3-0 4-0 44 W
07/06 Hai Phong
Vietnam V-League
1-1 1-1 63 D
31/05 Song Lam Nghe An
Vietnam V-League
2-0 3-0 43 W
24/05 Ha Noi FC
Vietnam V-League
0-1 1-2 21 L
17/05 Viettel FC
Vietnam V-League
0-2 0-2 64 L
10/05 Cong An Ha Noi
Vietnam V-League
2-1 2-3 25 L
01/05 Cong An HCMC
Vietnam V-League
0-0 2-0 32 W
25/04 Becamex HCMC
Vietnam V-League
0-1 1-1 105 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nam Dinh win (49%). Probabilities: Thanh Hoa 25%, draw 27%, Nam Dinh 49%.

How many goals are expected in Thanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Thanh Hoa 1.05 · Nam Dinh 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Thanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.