Prediction: HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka
Team pages: HNK Gorica · HNK Rijeka
- HNK Rijeka2-0HNK Gorica
- HNK Gorica4-0HNK Rijeka
- HNK Rijeka1-0HNK Gorica
- HNK Gorica1-3HNK Rijeka
- HNK Rijeka2-1HNK Gorica
- HNK Gorica0-0HNK Rijeka
| HNK Gorica | Draw | HNK Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 28% | 58% |
| Market | 16% | 25% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HNK Rijeka (rating 1431 vs 1595).
- H2H favours HNK Rijeka: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HNK Gorica | HNK Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 3.4 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HNK Gorica 1–1–4 HNK Rijeka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 2-0 HT 0-0 | HNK Gorica |
| 22/03/26 Croatia HNL | HNK Gorica | 4-0 HT 1-0 | HNK Rijeka |
| 21/12/25 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HNK Gorica |
| 05/10/25 Croatia HNL | HNK Gorica | 1-3 HT 0-1 | HNK Rijeka |
| 04/05/25 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 2-1 HT 2-0 | HNK Gorica |
| 01/03/25 Croatia HNL | HNK Gorica | 0-0 HT 0-0 | HNK Rijeka |
Standings · Croatia HNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | NK Osijek | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | NK Varazdin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Hajduk Split | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 4 |
| 8 | Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 9 | NK Rudes | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HNK Gorica | HNK Rijeka |
|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Istra 1961 | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Vukovar 91 | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: HNK Rijeka (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HNK Gorica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Vukovar 91 Croatia HNL |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
HNK Rijeka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | NK Varazdin Croatia HNL |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | HNK Gorica Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Vukovar 91 Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | NK Varazdin Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HNK Rijeka win (59%). Probabilities: HNK Gorica 15%, draw 26%, HNK Rijeka 59%.
How many goals are expected in HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?
The model expects 2.16 goals (HNK Gorica 0.63 · HNK Rijeka 1.53), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.