Football · Greece Gamma Ethniki · 27/09, 15:00
Prediction: AE Lefkimmis vs Tilikratis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
AE Lefkimmis1.05
Tilikratis1.38
1X2
AE Lefkimmis
Draw
Tilikratis
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AE Lefkimmis
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Tilikratis
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AE Lefkimmis
3–1–2
Tilikratis
(6 last)
- AE Lefkimmis0-0Tilikratis
- Tilikratis1-2AE Lefkimmis
- AE Lefkimmis2-4Tilikratis
- Tilikratis0-3AE Lefkimmis
- AE Lefkimmis3-1Tilikratis
- Tilikratis4-0AE Lefkimmis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AE Lefkimmis 1489 · Tilikratis 1468
| AE Lefkimmis | Draw | Tilikratis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 30% | 43% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AE Lefkimmis: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AE Lefkimmis | Tilikratis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/50/38% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4 | 2.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AE Lefkimmis 3–1–2 Tilikratis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Greece Gamma Ethniki | AE Lefkimmis | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tilikratis |
| 07/12/25 Greece Gamma Ethniki | Tilikratis | 1-2 | AE Lefkimmis |
| 04/02/23 Greece Gamma Ethniki | AE Lefkimmis | 2-4 HT 0-1 | Tilikratis |
| 03/03/19 Greece Football League 2 | Tilikratis | 0-3 | AE Lefkimmis |
| 22/12/18 Greece Football League 2 | AE Lefkimmis | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Tilikratis |
| 25/02/18 Greece Football League 2 | Tilikratis | 4-0 HT 3-0 | AE Lefkimmis |
Standings · Greece Gamma Ethniki · Gamma Ethniki 26/27, Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AE Lefkimmis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AO Plataria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aris Filiaton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atromitos Patron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AO Levante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Agios Matthaios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pallixouriakos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Panachaiki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Panagriniakos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Panegialios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Preveza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tilikratis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AE Lefkimmis | Tilikratis |
|---|---|---|
| Proodos Rogon 1966 | 5-3 W | 1-3 L |
| Aen Selefkeias | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Asteras Stavrou | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AE Lefkimmis (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AE Lefkimmis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04 | Proodos Rogon 1966 Greece Gamma Ethniki |
2-2 | 5-3 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Anagennisi Schimatariou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/04 | Anagennisi Artas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | AO Anthoupolis Larisas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Aen Selefkeias Greece Gamma Ethniki |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 01/03 | Tilikratis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 16/02 | Anagennisi Artas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/02 | Asteras Stavrou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 07/02 | Anagennisi Schimatariou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 01/02 | AO Anthoupolis Larisas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Tilikratis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04 | Aris Filiaton Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Asteras Stavrou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 01/04 | Lamia Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Trikala Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | Po Elassonas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/03 | AE Lefkimmis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 21/02 | Aris Filiaton Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/02 | Trikala Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/02 | Aen Selefkeias Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/02 | Proodos Rogon 1966 Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AE Lefkimmis vs Tilikratis?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tilikratis win (43%). Probabilities: AE Lefkimmis 28%, draw 29%, Tilikratis 43%.
How many goals are expected in AE Lefkimmis vs Tilikratis?
The model expects 2.42 goals (AE Lefkimmis 1.05 · Tilikratis 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AE Lefkimmis vs Tilikratis?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.