Football · Greece Gamma Ethniki · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: Ionikos Nikaia vs Diagoras

Team pages: Ionikos Nikaia · Diagoras

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Ionikos Nikaia0.83
Diagoras1.58
1X2
19% 26% 55%
Ionikos Nikaia Draw Diagoras
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ionikos Nikaia 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLDDWLDL
Diagoras 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWWDWWLLDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ionikos Nikaia 1504 · Diagoras 1493
Ionikos NikaiaDrawDiagoras
Our model18%28%54%
Market20%25%55%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ionikos NikaiaDiagoras
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.11.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/57/29%38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 5.73 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.14.8 / 0.5

Standings · Greece Gamma Ethniki · Gamma Ethniki 26/27, Group 8

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Egaleo 110 413
2 Apollon Smyrnis 110 203
2 Doxa Vyrona 110 203
4 AER Afantou 110 103
4 Amfiali 110 103
4 Ethnikos OFPF 110 103
7 Ialysos 101 010
7 Ionikos Nikaia 101 010
7 Pao Rouf 101 010
10 Diagoras 101 020
10 Proodeftiki 101 020
12 Apollon Kalithion FC 101 140

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ionikos Nikaia

WWWLDDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 AER Afantou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-1 08 L
08/04 Ethnikos OFPF
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-1 –– D
05/04 Thyella Rafinas
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 0-2 54 L
01/04 Mykonos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 2-1 –– W
28/03 Saronikos Anavyssou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 1-1 124 D
22/03 Kyanos Astir Varis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-1 95 D
01/03 Kyanos Astir Varis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-3 76 L
21/02 Atsalenios
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-1 2-1 45 W
15/02 Aias Salaminas
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-0 –– W
08/02 Granitis Agias Marinas
Greece Gamma Ethniki
2-0 3-0 32 W

Diagoras

DWWDWWLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Apollon Smyrnis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 0-2 –– L
08/04 AO Karystou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 2-2 –– D
05/04 AO Mikrasiatikos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-2 1-4 37 L
02/04 Aris Petroupolis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 0-1 28 L
28/03 AON Artaki
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-0 32 W
22/03 AER Afantou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
2-0 2-1 53 W
01/03 Kentavros Vrilission
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 –– D
22/02 Aris Petroupolis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
3-0 3-0 –– W
15/02 Amarinthiakos FC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 3-1 77 W
06/02 Doxa Vyrona
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 35 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ionikos Nikaia vs Diagoras?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Diagoras win (55%). Probabilities: Ionikos Nikaia 19%, draw 26%, Diagoras 55%.

How many goals are expected in Ionikos Nikaia vs Diagoras?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Ionikos Nikaia 0.83 · Diagoras 1.58), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ionikos Nikaia vs Diagoras?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.