Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: GrIFK vs NJS

Team pages: GrIFK · NJS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
GrIFK2.39
NJS1.05
1X2
67% 19% 15%
GrIFK Draw NJS
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
GrIFK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWDLDDL
NJS 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWWLLW
Head-to-head
GrIFK 2–3–1 NJS (6 last)
  • NJS2-1GrIFK
  • GrIFK2-0NJS
  • NJS0-1GrIFK
  • GrIFK3-3NJS
  • NJS1-1GrIFK
  • GrIFK1-1NJS
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GrIFK 1498 · NJS 1432
GrIFKDrawNJS
Our model66%20%14%
Market67%18%15%
Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GrIFK (rating 1498 vs 1432).
  • H2H favours GrIFK: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GrIFKNJS
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.71.3 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.31 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.52.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · GrIFK 2–3–1 NJS

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/09/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
NJS2-1
HT 0-1
GrIFK
03/07/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK2-0
HT 1-0
NJS
24/04/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
NJS0-1
HT 0-0
GrIFK
22/09/24
Finland Kakkonen Group A
GrIFK3-3
HT 2-1
NJS
13/07/24
Finland Kakkonen Group A
NJS1-1
HT 0-1
GrIFK
12/05/24
Finland Kakkonen Group A
GrIFK1-1
HT 1-0
NJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 GrIFK 237610 294127
2 EBK 235612 344921
3 MuSa 235513 296520
4 NJS 233119 216210

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrIFKNJS
MuSa 2-5 L 2-3 L
EBK 1-1 D 3-0 W
Tampereen Ilves 2 3-2 W 0-4 L
P-Iirot 0-2 L 0-1 L
FC Honka 1-2 L 0-7 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NJS (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GrIFK

LWLWWDLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-3 2-5 61 L
26/09 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-1 54 D
18/09 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-1 45 D
12/09 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-2 54 L
04/09 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-1 66 D
22/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-1 3-2 25 W
15/08 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-0 56 W
08/08 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 45 L
31/07 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 2-1 510 W
25/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 1-2 16 L

NJS

LLLLLWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 3-0 12 W
26/09 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 2-3 15 L
19/09 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-3 0-4 52 L
12/09 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 2-1 64 W
04/09 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 4-0 72 W
22/08 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-2 16 L
15/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-4 11 L
08/08 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-3 0-7 00 L
01/08 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-1 03 L
24/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-2 25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GrIFK vs NJS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GrIFK win (67%). Probabilities: GrIFK 67%, draw 19%, NJS 15%.

How many goals are expected in GrIFK vs NJS?

The model expects 3.44 goals (GrIFK 2.39 · NJS 1.05), with a 59% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in GrIFK vs NJS?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.