Football · Australia A-League Women · 18/10, 01:15
Prediction: Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Melbourne City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Wellington Phoenix (W)1.16
Melbourne City (W)1.37
1X2
Wellington Phoenix (W)
Draw
Melbourne City (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Wellington Phoenix (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Melbourne City (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wellington Phoenix (W)
0–6
Melbourne City (W)
(6 last)
- Melbourne City (W)3-1Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)1-2Melbourne City (W)
- Melbourne City (W)1-0Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)0-1Melbourne City (W)
- Melbourne City (W)2-1Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Melbourne City (W)2-1Wellington Phoenix (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melbourne City (W) (rating 1504 vs 1590).
- H2H favours Melbourne City (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wellington Phoenix (W) | Melbourne City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.8 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wellington Phoenix (W) 0–0–6 Melbourne City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne City (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 10/01/26 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Melbourne City (W) |
| 07/12/25 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne City (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 30/03/25 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Melbourne City (W) |
| 28/12/24 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne City (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 20/01/24 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne City (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
Standings · Australia A-League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide United (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brisbane Roar (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Canberra Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Melbourne City (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Perth Glory (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sydney FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wellington Phoenix (W) | Melbourne City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar (W) | 1-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Adelaide United (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Melbourne Victory (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Melbourne City (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wellington Phoenix (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 03/04 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/03 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/03 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/02 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 15/02 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Melbourne City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Newcastle Jets (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/03 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/03 | Canberra Utd (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 20/02 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/02 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 08/02 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-2 | 5-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Melbourne City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Melbourne City (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Wellington Phoenix (W) 31%, draw 29%, Melbourne City (W) 40%.
How many goals are expected in Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Melbourne City (W)?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Wellington Phoenix (W) 1.16 · Melbourne City (W) 1.37), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Melbourne City (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.