Football · Malaysia Super League · 26/08, 14:15

Prediction: Johor Darul Takzim vs Kelantan The Real Warriors

Team pages: Johor Darul Takzim · Kelantan The Real Warriors

Prediction summary

Expected goals

5.14Total

Johor Darul Takzim3.57

Kelantan The Real Warriors1.57

1X2

85% 8% 7%

Johor Darul Takzim Draw Kelantan The Real Warriors

Markets

Under 5.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

3-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Johor Darul Takzim 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWW

Kelantan The Real Warriors 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Johor Darul Takzim 6–0 Kelantan The Real Warriors (6 last)

Kelantan The Real Warriors1-14Johor Darul Takzim
Johor Darul Takzim4-1Kelantan The Real Warriors
Johor Darul Takzim9-0Kelantan The Real Warriors
Kelantan The Real Warriors1-6Johor Darul Takzim
Johor Darul Takzim4-0Kelantan The Real Warriors
Kelantan The Real Warriors0-2Johor Darul Takzim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Johor Darul Takzim 1634 · Kelantan The Real Warriors 1362

	Johor Darul Takzim	Draw	Kelantan The Real Warriors
Our model	74%	13%	13%
Market	95%	3%	2%

Estimated total (ours) 5.14 goals · Bet365 line 6 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 88%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johor Darul Takzim (rating 1634 vs 1362).
H2H favours Johor Darul Takzim: 6-0-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Johor Darul Takzim	Kelantan The Real Warriors
Goals for / against (FT)	5.1 / 0.5	0.7 / 3.5
Goals for / against (HT)	2.4 / 0.2	0.5 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/10/10%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 8.3	1.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.01

X34.00

241.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.75)1.88

2 (+5.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 61.90

Under 61.90

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 8 moves · last 12:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01▲	Bet365 1.01
X	34.00 → 26.00▼	Bet365 26.00
2	41.00 → 41.00	Bet365 41.00

See the full journey (8)

Bet365 margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +4’	1.01	34.00	41.00
14:57 +6’	1.01▼	34.00	41.00
15:55 +9’	1.01▲	29.00▼	41.00
03:02 +3’	1.01▲	29.00	41.00
06:50 +12’	1.02▲	21.00▼	34.00▼
08:59 +3’	1.02	23.00▲	41.00▲
11:02 +4’	1.01▼	29.00▲	51.00▲
12:09 +4’	1.01▲	26.00▼	41.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Johor Darul Takzim 6–0–0 Kelantan The Real Warriors

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Malaysia Super League	Kelantan The Real Warriors	1-14 HT 0-8	Johor Darul Takzim
20/12/25 Malaysia Super League	Johor Darul Takzim	4-1 HT 2-0	Kelantan The Real Warriors
10/04/25 Malaysia Super League	Johor Darul Takzim	9-0 HT 5-0	Kelantan The Real Warriors
22/09/24 Malaysia Super League	Kelantan The Real Warriors	1-6 HT 0-2	Johor Darul Takzim
15/06/24 Malaysia Cup	Johor Darul Takzim	4-0 HT 1-0	Kelantan The Real Warriors
28/10/23 Malaysia Super League	Kelantan The Real Warriors	0-2 HT 0-0	Johor Darul Takzim

Standings · Malaysia Super League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Selangor	1	1	0	4	1	3
2	Johor Darul Takzim	1	1	0	3	0	3
2	Terengganu	1	1	0	3	0	3
4	Sabah FC	1	1	0	3	1	3
5	DPMM FC	1	1	0	1	0	3
6	Kuala Lumpur City	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Negeri Sembilan	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Pulau Pinang	1	0	1	0	1	0
9	Imigresen FC	1	0	1	1	3	0
10	Kelantan Red Warrior	1	0	1	1	4	0
11	Kuching City FC	1	0	1	0	3	0
11	Melaka FC	1	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Johor Darul Takzim	Kelantan The Real Warriors
Kuala Lumpur City	7-0 W	0-2 L
Melaka FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Terengganu	1-1 D	0-2 L
PDRM	7-0 W	0-1 L
DPMM FC	3-0 W	0-3 L
Pulau Pinang	4-0 W	1-1 D
Sabah FC	6-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Johor Darul Takzim (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Johor Darul Takzim

WWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League	8-0	14-1	–	–	W
02/05	Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League	2-0	7-0	5	3	W
28/04	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
11/04	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-1	17	3	D
18/03	PDRM Malaysia Super League	3-0	7-0	10	1	W
15/03	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	3-0	11	6	W
27/02	Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
22/02	Sabah FC Malaysia Super League	4-0	6-1	4	3	W
01/02	Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	5-0	11	1	W
14/01	Kuching City FC Malaysia Super League	0-1	2-1	5	3	W

Kelantan The Real Warriors

WDLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Super League	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Super League	0-8	1-14	–	–	L
24/04	Selangor Malaysia Super League	0-3	0-6	3	1	L
10/04	Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
15/03	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
06/03	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
27/02	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	0-2	0-3	2	5	L
21/02	PDRM Malaysia Super League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
31/01	Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
13/01	Sabah FC Malaysia Super League	3-1	3-2	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Johor Darul Takzim vs Kelantan The Real Warriors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Johor Darul Takzim win (85%). Probabilities: Johor Darul Takzim 85%, draw 8%, Kelantan The Real Warriors 7%.

How many goals are expected in Johor Darul Takzim vs Kelantan The Real Warriors?

The model expects 5.14 goals (Johor Darul Takzim 3.57 · Kelantan The Real Warriors 1.57), with a 59% chance of under 6 goals.

Will both teams score in Johor Darul Takzim vs Kelantan The Real Warriors?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.