Football · Malaysia Super League · 05/09, 13:30

Prediction: Sabah FC vs Kuching City FC

Team pages: Sabah FC · Kuching City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Sabah FC0.88

Kuching City FC1.79

1X2

18% 23% 59%

Sabah FC Draw Kuching City FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sabah FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Kuching City FC 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Sabah FC 3–1–2 Kuching City FC (6 last)

Kuching City FC2-0Sabah FC
Sabah FC0-1Kuching City FC
Sabah FC0-0Kuching City FC
Kuching City FC0-1Sabah FC
Kuching City FC1-2Sabah FC
Sabah FC2-1Kuching City FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sabah FC 1479 · Kuching City FC 1611

	Sabah FC	Draw	Kuching City FC
Our model	17%	25%	58%
Market	19%	22%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kuching City FC (rating 1479 vs 1611).
H2H favours Sabah FC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sabah FC	Kuching City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	2.7 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.9	3.4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.10

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.95

2 (-1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:28 +23’	4.75	4.10	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sabah FC 3–1–2 Kuching City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Malaysia Super League	Kuching City FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Sabah FC
04/10/25 Malaysia Super League	Sabah FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Kuching City FC
23/12/24 Malaysia Cup	Sabah FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Kuching City FC
15/12/24 Malaysia Cup	Kuching City FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Sabah FC
04/12/24 Malaysia Super League	Kuching City FC	1-2 HT 0-0	Sabah FC
25/05/24 Malaysia Super League	Sabah FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Kuching City FC

Standings · Malaysia Super League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Johor Darul Takzim	3	3	0	19	0	9
2	Kuching City FC	3	2	1	11	3	6
3	Selangor	2	2	0	7	1	6
4	Sabah FC	2	2	0	5	1	6
5	Negeri Sembilan	2	1	1	4	2	3
6	Terengganu	2	1	1	3	3	3
7	DPMM FC	2	1	1	1	1	3
8	Melaka FC	2	1	1	2	4	3
9	Kuala Lumpur City	3	1	2	1	9	3
10	Pulau Pinang	2	0	2	0	3	0
11	Imigresen FC	2	0	2	1	10	0
12	Kelantan Red Warrior	3	0	3	1	18	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sabah FC	Kuching City FC
Pulau Pinang	2-0 W	1-0 W
Imigresen FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
Terengganu	0-1 L	2-1 W
DPMM FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
PDRM	5-1 W	4-1 W
Melaka FC	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sabah FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sabah FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League	1-0	2-0	10	3	W
24/08	Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League	1-1	3-1	10	5	W
15/05	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
09/05	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-0	11	5	W
02/05	PDRM Malaysia Super League	3-0	5-1	5	2	W
26/04	Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/04	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
11/04	Selangor Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-1	0	3	D
14/03	Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
07/03	Kuching City FC Malaysia Super League	0-2	0-2	4	4	L

Kuching City FC

WWWWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Kelantan Red Warrior Malaysia Super League	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
26/08	Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
17/05	Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
09/05	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
01/05	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
25/04	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	1-2	2-2	10	7	D
12/04	PDRM Malaysia Super League	1-1	4-1	7	3	W
14/03	Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
07/03	Sabah FC Malaysia Super League	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
01/03	Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-0	15	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sabah FC vs Kuching City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kuching City FC win (59%). Probabilities: Sabah FC 18%, draw 23%, Kuching City FC 59%.

How many goals are expected in Sabah FC vs Kuching City FC?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Sabah FC 0.88 · Kuching City FC 1.79), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sabah FC vs Kuching City FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.