Football · Malaysia Super League · 05/09, 10:45

Prediction: Negeri Sembilan vs Imigresen FC

Team pages: Negeri Sembilan · Imigresen FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Negeri Sembilan1.99

Imigresen FC1.19

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Negeri Sembilan Draw Imigresen FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Negeri Sembilan 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

LDDWDDDDWL

Imigresen FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWWDLL

Head-to-head

Negeri Sembilan 1–2–1 Imigresen FC (4 last)

Negeri Sembilan1-2Imigresen FC
Negeri Sembilan1-0Imigresen FC
Imigresen FC0-0Negeri Sembilan
Imigresen FC1-1Negeri Sembilan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Negeri Sembilan 1499 · Imigresen FC 1512

	Negeri Sembilan	Draw	Imigresen FC
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Negeri Sembilan	Imigresen FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	1.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:39 +3’	1.61	4.00	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Negeri Sembilan 1–2–1 Imigresen FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Malaysia Super League	Negeri Sembilan	1-2 HT 1-1	Imigresen FC
25/01/26 Malaysia Cup	Negeri Sembilan	1-0 HT 0-0	Imigresen FC
17/01/26 Malaysia Cup	Imigresen FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Negeri Sembilan
20/09/25 Malaysia Super League	Imigresen FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Negeri Sembilan

Standings · Malaysia Super League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Johor Darul Takzim	3	3	0	19	0	9
2	Kuching City FC	3	2	1	11	3	6
3	Selangor	2	2	0	7	1	6
4	Sabah FC	2	2	0	5	1	6
5	Negeri Sembilan	2	1	1	4	2	3
6	Terengganu	2	1	1	3	3	3
7	DPMM FC	2	1	1	1	1	3
8	Melaka FC	2	1	1	2	4	3
9	Kuala Lumpur City	3	1	2	1	9	3
10	Pulau Pinang	2	0	2	0	3	0
11	Imigresen FC	2	0	2	1	10	0
12	Kelantan Red Warrior	3	0	3	1	18	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Negeri Sembilan	Imigresen FC
Melaka FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Terengganu	2-2 D	3-1 W
DPMM FC	2-2 D	3-1 W
PDRM	6-1 W	5-0 W
Pulau Pinang	3-3 D	0-0 D
Sabah FC	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Imigresen FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Negeri Sembilan

LDDWDDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
16/05	Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League	1-2	2-2	8	6	D
03/05	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
25/04	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	0-2	2-2	2	4	D
12/04	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	2-2	6	7	D
13/03	PDRM Malaysia Super League	3-1	6-1	7	2	W
07/03	Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League	1-1	3-3	3	5	D
28/02	Sabah FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
21/02	Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L

Imigresen FC

LLWDWWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Super League	0-5	0-7	0	2	L
24/08	Sabah FC Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
16/05	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
08/05	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	2-1	3-1	1	6	W
03/05	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	1-1	3-1	8	3	W
25/04	PDRM Malaysia Super League	3-0	5-0	7	3	W
11/04	Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
14/03	Sabah FC Malaysia Super League	0-1	2-1	8	6	W
08/03	Selangor Malaysia Super League	0-2	0-4	2	3	L
08/03	Selangor Malaysia Super League	0-2	0-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Negeri Sembilan vs Imigresen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Negeri Sembilan win (55%). Probabilities: Negeri Sembilan 55%, draw 23%, Imigresen FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Negeri Sembilan vs Imigresen FC?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Negeri Sembilan 1.99 · Imigresen FC 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Negeri Sembilan vs Imigresen FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.