Football · Greece Gamma Ethniki · 27/09, 15:00
Prediction: Posidonas Neas Michanionas vs PAOK Kristonis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Posidonas Neas Michanionas1.88
PAOK Kristonis0.95
1X2
Posidonas Neas Michanionas
Draw
PAOK Kristonis
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Posidonas Neas Michanionas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
PAOK Kristonis
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Posidonas Neas Michanionas
4–1–0
PAOK Kristonis
(5 last)
- PAOK Kristonis1-3Posidonas Neas Michanionas
- Posidonas Neas Michanionas0-0PAOK Kristonis
- Posidonas Neas Michanionas4-2PAOK Kristonis
- PAOK Kristonis1-3Posidonas Neas Michanionas
- Posidonas Neas Michanionas1-0PAOK Kristonis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Posidonas Neas Michanionas 1503 · PAOK Kristonis 1483
| Posidonas Neas Michanionas | Draw | PAOK Kristonis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| Market | 58% | 24% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Posidonas Neas Michanionas: 4-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Posidonas Neas Michanionas | PAOK Kristonis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 2.5 | 0 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 0.5 | – / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Posidonas Neas Michanionas 4–1–0 PAOK Kristonis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Greece Gamma Ethniki | PAOK Kristonis | 1-3 | Posidonas Neas Michanionas |
| 23/11/25 Greece Gamma Ethniki | Posidonas Neas Michanionas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | PAOK Kristonis |
| 12/04/25 Greece Gamma Ethniki | Posidonas Neas Michanionas | 4-2 | PAOK Kristonis |
| 15/12/24 Greece Gamma Ethniki | PAOK Kristonis | 1-3 | Posidonas Neas Michanionas |
| 07/10/23 Greece Gamma Ethniki | Posidonas Neas Michanionas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | PAOK Kristonis |
Standings · Greece Gamma Ethniki · Gamma Ethniki 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polykastro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Agios Nikolaos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Akrites Sykeon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bam FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Finikas Polichnis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Iraklis Thermaikou | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kilkisiakos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Makedonikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PAOK Kristonis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PAS Panedessaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Posidonas Neas Michanionas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Posidonas Neas Michanionas | PAOK Kristonis |
|---|---|---|
| Panthrakikos | 1-6 L | 0-4 L |
| PAOK Dytikou | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: PAOK Kristonis (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Posidonas Neas Michanionas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04 | Doxa Drama Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Aetos Orfanou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Iraklis Thermaikou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Panthrakikos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-5 | 1-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Xanthi Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/03 | Aetos Orfanou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-0 | 4-2 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 21/02 | PAOK Kristonis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/02 | PAOK Dytikou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/02 | Doxa Drama Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/02 | Iraklis Thermaikou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
PAOK Kristonis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04 | Kilkisiakos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | MGS Orestes Orestiadas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Thermaikos Thermis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Apollon Krya Vrysi Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | PAOK Dytikou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/03 | Panthrakikos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/02 | Posidonas Neas Michanionas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/02 | MGS Orestes Orestiadas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/02 | Kilkisiakos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/02 | Thermaikos Thermis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Posidonas Neas Michanionas vs PAOK Kristonis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Posidonas Neas Michanionas win (58%). Probabilities: Posidonas Neas Michanionas 58%, draw 24%, PAOK Kristonis 18%.
How many goals are expected in Posidonas Neas Michanionas vs PAOK Kristonis?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Posidonas Neas Michanionas 1.88 · PAOK Kristonis 0.95), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Posidonas Neas Michanionas vs PAOK Kristonis?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.