Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women · 30/08, 08:00
Prediction: Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Team pages: Belconnen United (W) · Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Belconnen United (W)2.24
Canberra Croatia FC (W)1.1
1X2
Belconnen United (W)
Draw
Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Belconnen United (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Canberra Croatia FC (W)
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Belconnen United (W)
3–3–0
Canberra Croatia FC (W)
(6 last)
- Canberra Croatia FC (W)0-0Belconnen United (W)
- Belconnen United (W)1-1Canberra Croatia FC (W)
- Canberra Croatia FC (W)1-1Belconnen United (W)
- Belconnen United (W)2-0Canberra Croatia FC (W)
- Belconnen United (W)3-1Canberra Croatia FC (W)
- Belconnen United (W)1-0Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belconnen United (W) 1630 · Canberra Croatia FC (W) 1593
| Belconnen United (W) | Draw | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Belconnen United (W): 3-3-0.
- High corners: 17 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Belconnen United (W) | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 6.4 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 10.4 | 1.6 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belconnen United (W) 3–3–0 Canberra Croatia FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belconnen United (W) |
| 12/07/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
| 31/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Belconnen United (W) |
| 03/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
| 07/09/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
| 10/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belconnen United (W) | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 125 | 6 | 54 |
| 2 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 83 | 7 | 47 |
| 3 | Canberra Olympic (W) | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 44 | 20 | 36 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 57 | 18 |
| 5 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 83 | 14 |
| 6 | Majura FC (W) | 20 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 116 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Belconnen United (W) | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Canberra Olympic (W) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Majura FC (W) | 13-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Tuggeranong Utd (W) | 7-1 W | 4-0 W |
| West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 13-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Belconnen United (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belconnen United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 16/08 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
5-0 | 13-0 | 16 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
4-1 | 7-1 | 18 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
5-0 | 13-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/07 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
6-0 | 10-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
5-0 | 8-0 | 18 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Canberra Croatia FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 16/08 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
6-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 12/07 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 05/07 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
3-0 | 11-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
3-1 | 8-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Belconnen United (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Belconnen United (W) 62%, draw 22%, Canberra Croatia FC (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Belconnen United (W) 2.24 · Canberra Croatia FC (W) 1.1), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.