Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women · 06/09, 08:00

Prediction: Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Olympic (W)

Team pages: Belconnen United (W) · Canberra Olympic (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

Belconnen United (W)2.88

Canberra Olympic (W)0.88

1X2

79% 13% 8%

Belconnen United (W) Draw Canberra Olympic (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Belconnen United (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWDD

Canberra Olympic (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDWLWW

Head-to-head

Belconnen United (W) 6–0 Canberra Olympic (W) (6 last)

Belconnen United (W)3-0Canberra Olympic (W)
Canberra Olympic (W)0-2Belconnen United (W)
Belconnen United (W)3-0Canberra Olympic (W)
Canberra Olympic (W)0-2Belconnen United (W)
Belconnen United (W)4-0Canberra Olympic (W)
Belconnen United (W)4-2Canberra Olympic (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belconnen United (W) 1627 · Canberra Olympic (W) 1520

	Belconnen United (W)	Draw	Canberra Olympic (W)
Our model	78%	14%	8%
Market	80%	12%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belconnen United (W) (rating 1627 vs 1520).
H2H favours Belconnen United (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 15.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belconnen United (W)	Canberra Olympic (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	5.7 / 0.2	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	2.7 / 0.1	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 10.4	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.50

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)2.00

2 (+2.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.17▲	Bet365 1.17
X	9.00 → 7.50▼	Bet365 7.50
2	15.00 → 12.00▼	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:23 +14’	1.10	9.00	15.00
23:46 +3’	1.17▲	7.50▼	12.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belconnen United (W) 6–0–0 Canberra Olympic (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Belconnen United (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Canberra Olympic (W)
05/07/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Canberra Olympic (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Belconnen United (W)
24/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Belconnen United (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Canberra Olympic (W)
26/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Canberra Olympic (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Belconnen United (W)
20/09/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Belconnen United (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Canberra Olympic (W)
20/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Belconnen United (W)	4-2 HT 3-1	Canberra Olympic (W)

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Belconnen United (W)	20	17	3	0	125	6	54
2	Canberra Croatia FC (W)	20	14	5	1	83	7	47
3	Canberra Olympic (W)	20	11	3	6	44	20	36
4	Tuggeranong Utd (W)	20	5	3	12	21	57	18
5	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	20	4	2	14	14	83	14
6	Majura FC (W)	20	0	2	18	2	116	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belconnen United (W)	Canberra Olympic (W)
Canberra Croatia FC (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
Majura FC (W)	13-0 W	5-0 W
Tuggeranong Utd (W)	7-1 W	1-0 W
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	13-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Belconnen United (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belconnen United (W)

WWWDWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
23/08	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
16/08	Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	11	0	W
09/08	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	5-0	13-0	16	0	W
02/08	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	4-1	7-1	18	1	W
26/07	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	5-0	13-0	–	–	W
12/07	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
05/07	Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
28/06	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	6-0	10-0	13	0	W
21/06	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	5-0	8-0	18	0	W

Canberra Olympic (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
23/08	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-0	4-0	1	1	W
16/08	Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
09/08	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
02/08	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
26/07	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	4-0	5-0	14	0	W
12/07	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	4-0	5-0	7	1	W
05/07	Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
27/06	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
21/06	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Olympic (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belconnen United (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Belconnen United (W) 79%, draw 13%, Canberra Olympic (W) 8%.

How many goals are expected in Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Olympic (W)?

The model expects 3.76 goals (Belconnen United (W) 2.88 · Canberra Olympic (W) 0.88), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Olympic (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.