Football · Botswana Premier League · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: Morupule Wanderers FC vs Sua Flamingoes
Team pages: Morupule Wanderers FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Morupule Wanderers FC1.23
Sua Flamingoes1.15
1X2
Morupule Wanderers FC
Draw
Sua Flamingoes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Morupule Wanderers FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Sua Flamingoes
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Morupule Wanderers FC
1–1–4
Sua Flamingoes
(6 last)
- Sua Flamingoes2-1Morupule Wanderers FC
- Morupule Wanderers FC0-2Sua Flamingoes
- Morupule Wanderers FC2-3Sua Flamingoes
- Sua Flamingoes2-0Morupule Wanderers FC
- Sua Flamingoes0-0Morupule Wanderers FC
- Morupule Wanderers FC1-0Sua Flamingoes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Morupule Wanderers FC 1503 · Sua Flamingoes 1587
| Morupule Wanderers FC | Draw | Sua Flamingoes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sua Flamingoes (rating 1503 vs 1587).
- H2H favours Sua Flamingoes: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Morupule Wanderers FC | Sua Flamingoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 67/33/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Morupule Wanderers FC 1–1–4 Sua Flamingoes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Botswana Premier League | Sua Flamingoes | 2-1 | Morupule Wanderers FC |
| 15/11/25 Botswana Premier League | Morupule Wanderers FC | 0-2 | Sua Flamingoes |
| 17/05/25 Botswana Premier League | Morupule Wanderers FC | 2-3 | Sua Flamingoes |
| 19/10/24 Botswana Premier League | Sua Flamingoes | 2-0 | Morupule Wanderers FC |
| 03/02/24 Botswana Premier League | Sua Flamingoes | 0-0 | Morupule Wanderers FC |
| 27/01/24 Botswana Premier League | Morupule Wanderers FC | 1-0 | Sua Flamingoes |
Standings · Botswana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nico United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Botswana Police XI SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gaborone United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Extension Gunners | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sua Flamingoes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tonota FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Enesia FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Orapa United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Jwaneng Galaxy FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Township Rollers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Prisons XI Gaborone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Matebele FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Centre Chiefs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Tafic FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | BDF XI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Morupule Wanderers FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Morupule Wanderers FC | Sua Flamingoes |
|---|---|---|
| Botswana Police XI SC | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Jwaneng Galaxy FC | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Nico United | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Calender Stars | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Santa Green | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Morupule Wanderers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Botswana Police XI SC Botswana Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Botswana Police XI SC Botswana Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Jwaneng Galaxy FC Botswana Premier League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Sua Flamingoes Botswana Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Nico United Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Calender Stars Botswana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Centre Chiefs Botswana Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/03 | Gaborone United Botswana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/03 | Extension Gunners Botswana Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/02 | Santa Green Botswana Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Sua Flamingoes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Matebele FC Botswana Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Matebele FC Botswana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Black Lions FC Botswana Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Morupule Wanderers FC Botswana Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Jwaneng Galaxy FC Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | BDF XI Botswana Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Botswana Police XI SC Botswana Premier League |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/03 | Santa Green Botswana Premier League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Nico United Botswana Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/03 | Calender Stars Botswana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Morupule Wanderers FC vs Sua Flamingoes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Morupule Wanderers FC win (37%). Probabilities: Morupule Wanderers FC 37%, draw 30%, Sua Flamingoes 33%.
How many goals are expected in Morupule Wanderers FC vs Sua Flamingoes?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Morupule Wanderers FC 1.23 · Sua Flamingoes 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Morupule Wanderers FC vs Sua Flamingoes?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.