Football · Botswana Premier League · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: Matebele FC vs Botswana Police XI SC
Team pages: Botswana Police XI SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Matebele FC1.02
Botswana Police XI SC0.87
1X2
Matebele FC
Draw
Botswana Police XI SC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Matebele FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Botswana Police XI SC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Matebele FC
1–1–2
Botswana Police XI SC
(4 last)
- Botswana Police XI SC1-1Matebele FC
- Matebele FC0-2Botswana Police XI SC
- Botswana Police XI SC1-0Matebele FC
- Matebele FC2-1Botswana Police XI SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matebele FC 1467 · Botswana Police XI SC 1504
| Matebele FC | Draw | Botswana Police XI SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 35% | 29% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Botswana Police XI SC: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Matebele FC | Botswana Police XI SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/67/17% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matebele FC 1–1–2 Botswana Police XI SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Botswana Premier League | Botswana Police XI SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Matebele FC |
| 29/11/25 Botswana Premier League | Matebele FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Botswana Police XI SC |
| 31/03/24 Botswana Premier League | Botswana Police XI SC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Matebele FC |
| 18/10/23 Botswana Premier League | Matebele FC | 2-1 | Botswana Police XI SC |
Standings · Botswana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nico United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Botswana Police XI SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gaborone United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Extension Gunners | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sua Flamingoes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tonota FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Enesia FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Orapa United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Jwaneng Galaxy FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Township Rollers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Prisons XI Gaborone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Matebele FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Centre Chiefs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Tafic FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | BDF XI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Morupule Wanderers FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Matebele FC | Botswana Police XI SC |
|---|---|---|
| Sua Flamingoes | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Township Rollers | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Jwaneng Galaxy FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Santa Green | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matebele FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Sua Flamingoes Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Sua Flamingoes Botswana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Township Rollers Botswana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Jwaneng Galaxy FC Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/04 | Santa Green Botswana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Nico United Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/04 | Calender Stars Botswana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Centre Chiefs Botswana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/03 | Gaborone United Botswana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/03 | Extension Gunners Botswana Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Botswana Police XI SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Morupule Wanderers FC Botswana Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Morupule Wanderers FC Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | Orapa United Botswana Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/05 | Black Lions FC Botswana Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Township Rollers Botswana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Jwaneng Galaxy FC Botswana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Sua Flamingoes Botswana Premier League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/03 | BDF XI Botswana Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/03 | Santa Green Botswana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/02 | Matebele FC Botswana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matebele FC vs Botswana Police XI SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Matebele FC win (38%). Probabilities: Matebele FC 38%, draw 32%, Botswana Police XI SC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Matebele FC vs Botswana Police XI SC?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Matebele FC 1.02 · Botswana Police XI SC 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Matebele FC vs Botswana Police XI SC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.