Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 26/08, 01:00

Prediction: Cibao FC vs Delfines Del Este

Team pages: Cibao FC · Delfines Del Este

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.9Total

Cibao FC1.1

Delfines Del Este0.79

1X2

43% 31% 26%

Cibao FC Draw Delfines Del Este

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Cibao FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWWWDLWW

Delfines Del Este 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDWDWLWD

Head-to-head

Cibao FC 5–1–0 Delfines Del Este (6 last)

Cibao FC0-0Delfines Del Este
Delfines Del Este0-1Cibao FC
Cibao FC1-0Delfines Del Este
Delfines Del Este1-2Cibao FC
Cibao FC1-0Delfines Del Este
Delfines Del Este0-1Cibao FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cibao FC 1613 · Delfines Del Este 1530

	Cibao FC	Draw	Delfines Del Este
Our model	41%	34%	25%
Market	44%	29%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cibao FC (rating 1613 vs 1530).
H2H favours Cibao FC: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cibao FC	Delfines Del Este
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.1	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.10

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.22
X	3.20 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	3.90 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.98 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
19:48 +19’	1.83	3.20	3.90
20:43 +1’	2.05▲	3.10▼	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:12 +11’	2.11	2.35	4.42
20:34 +10’	2.33▲	2.30▼	3.85▼
22:21 +4’	2.01▼	2.48▲	4.46▲
23:12 +3’	2.22▲	2.45▼	3.98▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cibao FC 5–1–0 Delfines Del Este

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Delfines Del Este
15/02/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	0-1 HT 0-1	Cibao FC
10/01/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Delfines Del Este
19/09/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	1-2 HT 0-1	Cibao FC
25/05/25 Dominican Republic Cup	Cibao FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Delfines Del Este
17/05/25 Dominican Republic Cup	Delfines Del Este	0-1 HT 0-0	Cibao FC

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cibao FC	Delfines Del Este
Salcedo FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Atletico Pantoja	1-1 D	3-1 W
Universidad O&M	3-1 W	2-2 D
Moca FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Delfines Del Este (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cibao FC

DDDWWWDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-1	7	8	W
17/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-2	0	6	L
11/05	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
02/05	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	2	10	W
25/04	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
20/04	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	3-1	6	2	W
13/04	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
02/04	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	2-2	2	9	D
21/03	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

Delfines Del Este

WWDDWDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
09/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
03/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	9	9	L
25/04	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
12/04	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-2	8	7	D
01/04	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	2-0	3-1	1	4	W
21/03	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
14/03	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
07/03	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
01/03	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	2-1	3-2	2	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cibao FC vs Delfines Del Este?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cibao FC win (43%). Probabilities: Cibao FC 43%, draw 31%, Delfines Del Este 26%.

How many goals are expected in Cibao FC vs Delfines Del Este?

The model expects 1.9 goals (Cibao FC 1.1 · Delfines Del Este 0.79), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cibao FC vs Delfines Del Este?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.