Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 25/08, 22:00
Prediction: Jarabacoa FC vs Atlantico FC
Team pages: Jarabacoa FC · Atlantico FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Jarabacoa FC1.25
Atlantico FC1.23
1X2
Jarabacoa FC
Draw
Atlantico FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Jarabacoa FC
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Atlantico FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jarabacoa FC
0–5–1
Atlantico FC
(6 last)
- Atlantico FC1-1Jarabacoa FC
- Jarabacoa FC2-2Atlantico FC
- Atlantico FC2-2Jarabacoa FC
- Jarabacoa FC1-4Atlantico FC
- Atlantico FC0-0Jarabacoa FC
- Jarabacoa FC2-2Atlantico FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jarabacoa FC 1422 · Atlantico FC 1490
| Jarabacoa FC | Draw | Atlantico FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlantico FC (rating 1422 vs 1490).
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jarabacoa FC | Atlantico FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.8 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 1.1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jarabacoa FC 0–5–1 Atlantico FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/25 Dominican Republic Liga | Atlantico FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Jarabacoa FC |
| 04/10/25 Dominican Republic Liga | Jarabacoa FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Atlantico FC |
| 27/05/23 Dominican Republic Liga | Atlantico FC | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Jarabacoa FC |
| 12/04/23 Dominican Republic Liga | Jarabacoa FC | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Atlantico FC |
| 07/07/21 Dominican Republic Liga | Atlantico FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jarabacoa FC |
| 22/05/21 Dominican Republic Liga | Jarabacoa FC | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Atlantico FC |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jarabacoa FC | Atlantico FC |
|---|---|---|
| Cibao FC | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Atletico Vega Real | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Pantoja | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Salcedo FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Delfines Del Este | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Moca FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Universidad O&M | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jarabacoa FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/12 | Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 05/12 | Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/11 | Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/11 | Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/11 | Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/11 | Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 25/10 | Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 04/10 | Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
Atlantico FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 17/12 | Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 14/12 | Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 06/12 | Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 23/11 | Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/11 | Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/10 | Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 04/10 | Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jarabacoa FC vs Atlantico FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jarabacoa FC win (36%). Probabilities: Jarabacoa FC 36%, draw 29%, Atlantico FC 35%.
How many goals are expected in Jarabacoa FC vs Atlantico FC?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Jarabacoa FC 1.25 · Atlantico FC 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Jarabacoa FC vs Atlantico FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.