Football · Armenia Premier League · 03/09, 18:00

Prediction: Alashkert FC vs FC Van

Team pages: Alashkert FC · FC Van

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Alashkert FC2.29
FC Van0.54
1X2
77% 16% 7%
Alashkert FC Draw FC Van
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Alashkert FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWWWWLWD
FC Van 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLLLDL
Head-to-head
Alashkert FC 3–3–0 FC Van (6 last)
  • FC Van0-1Alashkert FC
  • Alashkert FC1-0FC Van
  • FC Van1-2Alashkert FC
  • Alashkert FC2-2FC Van
  • FC Van1-1Alashkert FC
  • Alashkert FC1-1FC Van
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alashkert FC 1557 · FC Van 1411
Alashkert FCDrawFC Van
Our model76%17%6%
Market78%15%8%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alashkert FC (rating 1557 vs 1411).
  • H2H favours Alashkert FC: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Alashkert FCFC Van
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.60.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.10.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.21 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 03.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alashkert FC 330 FC Van

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Armenia Premier League
FC Van0-1
HT 0-0
Alashkert FC
24/10/25
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC1-0
HT 1-0
FC Van
29/09/25
Armenia Premier League
FC Van1-2
HT 1-1
Alashkert FC
29/03/25
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC2-2
HT 0-1
FC Van
01/03/25
Armenia Premier League
FC Van1-1
HT 1-0
Alashkert FC
09/08/24
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC1-1
HT 0-1
FC Van

Standings · Armenia Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Noah 5500 13315
2 Alashkert FC 5311 10210
3 Sardarapat FC 4310 10410
4 Pyunik Yerevan 4310 9310
5 Ararat Armenia 5311 10710
6 FC Urartu 5221 858
7 Shirak 5212 857
8 BKMA FC 5113 464
9 Gandzasar Kapan 5104 6123
10 Ararat Yerevan 5104 3123
11 Syunik 5014 3131
12 FC Van 5014 2141

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlashkert FCFC Van
FC Urartu 1-1 D 0-2 L
Gandzasar Kapan 3-0 W 1-0 W
Shirak 2-0 W 0-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Alashkert FC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alashkert FC

DDWWWWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
0-1 1-1 65 D
21/08 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
1-0 3-0 73 W
17/08 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-1 36 L
10/08 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-0 40 W
03/08 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 3-0 57 W
26/05 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
2-0 2-0 24 W
16/05 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-0 94 W
09/05 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-1 W
02/05 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-2 64 D
25/04 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-1 56 D

FC Van

LWWLLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-3 0-4 34 L
20/08 Syunik
Armenia Premier League
1-1 1-1 24 D
15/08 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-2 26 L
09/08 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-2 0-3 11 L
31/07 Sardarapat FC
Armenia Premier League
0-2 1-4 32 L
27/05 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
1-1 1-2 12 L
16/05 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-1 14 L
08/05 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-0 W
02/05 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
1-0 1-0 59 W
26/04 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
0-2 0-2 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alashkert FC vs FC Van?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alashkert FC win (77%). Probabilities: Alashkert FC 77%, draw 16%, FC Van 7%.

How many goals are expected in Alashkert FC vs FC Van?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Alashkert FC 2.29 · FC Van 0.54), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Alashkert FC vs FC Van?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.