Football · Armenia Premier League · 04/09, 18:00

Prediction: FC Noah vs Gandzasar Kapan

Team pages: FC Noah · Gandzasar Kapan

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
FC Noah2.87
Gandzasar Kapan0.87
1X2
79% 14% 7%
FC Noah Draw Gandzasar Kapan
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Noah 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWWWWW
Gandzasar Kapan 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWLLL
Head-to-head
FC Noah 6–0 Gandzasar Kapan (6 last)
  • Gandzasar Kapan1-4FC Noah
  • Gandzasar Kapan0-3FC Noah
  • FC Noah4-1Gandzasar Kapan
  • FC Noah1-0Gandzasar Kapan
  • FC Noah4-0Gandzasar Kapan
  • Gandzasar Kapan0-3FC Noah
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Noah 1630 · Gandzasar Kapan 1382
FC NoahDrawGandzasar Kapan
Our model78%14%8%
Market80%14%6%
Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Noah (rating 1630 vs 1382).
  • H2H favours FC Noah: 6-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC NoahGandzasar Kapan
Goals for / against (FT)3.4 / 0.70.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.20.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.83 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Noah 600 Gandzasar Kapan

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/05/26
Armenia Premier League
Gandzasar Kapan1-4
HT 0-1
FC Noah
10/04/26
Armenia Premier League
Gandzasar Kapan0-3
HT 0-1
FC Noah
17/08/25
Armenia Premier League
FC Noah4-1
HT 3-1
Gandzasar Kapan
20/04/25
Armenia Premier League
FC Noah1-0
HT 0-0
Gandzasar Kapan
02/04/25
Armenian Cup
FC Noah4-0Gandzasar Kapan
10/03/25
Armenia Premier League
Gandzasar Kapan0-3
HT 0-2
FC Noah

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Noah 5500 13315
2 Alashkert FC 5311 10210
3 Sardarapat FC 4310 10410
4 Pyunik Yerevan 4310 9310
5 Ararat Armenia 5311 10710
6 FC Urartu 5221 858
7 Shirak 5212 857
8 BKMA FC 5113 464
9 Gandzasar Kapan 5104 6123
10 Ararat Yerevan 5104 3123
11 Syunik 5014 3131
12 FC Van 5014 2141

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC NoahGandzasar Kapan
BKMA FC 1-0 W 0-3 L
Alashkert FC 1-0 W 0-3 L
Shirak 4-3 W 0-1 L
Syunik 3-0 W 3-1 W
Pyunik Yerevan 0-0 D 0-2 L
Ararat Armenia 4-0 W 3-4 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC Noah (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Noah

WWWDWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
3-0 4-0 25 W
23/08 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-0 82 W
17/08 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-0 86 W
09/08 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
1-1 4-3 46 W
02/08 Syunik
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-0 41 W
27/05 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
2-0 5-0 40 W
23/05 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 D
19/05 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
3-1 8-3 35 W
10/05 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
2-0 4-0 51 W
06/05 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
1-0 4-1 54 W

Gandzasar Kapan

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-3 84 L
21/08 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-3 53 L
14/08 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-1 83 L
08/08 Syunik
Armenia Premier League
1-0 3-1 35 W
01/08 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
1-2 3-4 27 L
27/05 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-1 33 L
18/05 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-2 31 L
09/05 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-2 1-3 L
06/05 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-1 1-4 54 L
02/05 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-1 79 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Noah vs Gandzasar Kapan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Noah win (79%). Probabilities: FC Noah 79%, draw 14%, Gandzasar Kapan 7%.

How many goals are expected in FC Noah vs Gandzasar Kapan?

The model expects 3.73 goals (FC Noah 2.87 · Gandzasar Kapan 0.87), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Noah vs Gandzasar Kapan?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.