Football · Armenia Premier League · 18/09, 16:00
Prediction: Gandzasar Kapan vs FC Urartu
Team pages: Gandzasar Kapan · FC Urartu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Gandzasar Kapan1.28
FC Urartu1.85
1X2
Gandzasar Kapan
Draw
FC Urartu
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Gandzasar Kapan
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
FC Urartu
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gandzasar Kapan
0–1–5
FC Urartu
(6 last)
- FC Urartu4-2Gandzasar Kapan
- Gandzasar Kapan2-2FC Urartu
- FC Urartu1-0Gandzasar Kapan
- FC Urartu2-1Gandzasar Kapan
- Gandzasar Kapan0-4FC Urartu
- FC Urartu2-0Gandzasar Kapan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gandzasar Kapan 1389 · FC Urartu 1485
| Gandzasar Kapan | Draw | FC Urartu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Urartu (rating 1389 vs 1485).
- H2H favours FC Urartu: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gandzasar Kapan | FC Urartu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.3 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gandzasar Kapan 0–1–5 FC Urartu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Armenia Premier League | FC Urartu | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Gandzasar Kapan |
| 06/03/26 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 2-2 HT 2-0 | FC Urartu |
| 09/08/25 Armenia Premier League | FC Urartu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gandzasar Kapan |
| 15/03/25 Armenia Premier League | FC Urartu | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Gandzasar Kapan |
| 28/11/24 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 0-4 HT 0-0 | FC Urartu |
| 31/08/24 Armenia Premier League | FC Urartu | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gandzasar Kapan |
Standings · Armenia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Ararat Armenia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Alashkert FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Sardarapat FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | Shirak | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Urartu | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 8 | BKMA FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Ararat Yerevan | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Van | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 4 |
| 11 | Gandzasar Kapan | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 3 |
| 12 | Syunik | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gandzasar Kapan | FC Urartu |
|---|---|---|
| Ararat Yerevan | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Noah | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| BKMA FC | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Alashkert FC | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Shirak | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Syunik | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Ararat Armenia | 3-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Pyunik Yerevan | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Urartu (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gandzasar Kapan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
FC Urartu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 13/08 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/05 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gandzasar Kapan vs FC Urartu?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Urartu win (50%). Probabilities: Gandzasar Kapan 26%, draw 25%, FC Urartu 50%.
How many goals are expected in Gandzasar Kapan vs FC Urartu?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Gandzasar Kapan 1.28 · FC Urartu 1.85), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gandzasar Kapan vs FC Urartu?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.