Football · Armenia Premier League · 18/09, 18:00

Prediction: FC Noah vs FC Van

Team pages: FC Noah · FC Van

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
FC Noah2.85
FC Van0.85
1X2
83% 11% 6%
FC Noah Draw FC Van
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Noah 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWWWW
FC Van 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLDLLW
Head-to-head
FC Noah 3–2–1 FC Van (6 last)
  • FC Noah2-0FC Van
  • FC Van0-0FC Noah
  • FC Noah2-1FC Van
  • FC Van2-2FC Noah
  • FC Van1-0FC Noah
  • FC Noah2-0FC Van
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Noah 1633 · FC Van 1416
FC NoahDrawFC Van
Our model78%14%8%
Market87%8%5%
Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Noah (rating 1633 vs 1416).
  • H2H favours FC Noah: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC NoahFC Van
Goals for / against (FT)3.2 / 0.80.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.40.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.31 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 03.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Noah 321 FC Van

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/04/26
Armenia Premier League
FC Noah2-0
HT 1-0
FC Van
02/12/25
Armenia Premier League
FC Van0-0
HT 0-0
FC Noah
24/09/25
Armenia Premier League
FC Noah2-1
HT 1-0
FC Van
04/05/25
Armenia Premier League
FC Van2-2
HT 1-0
FC Noah
30/04/25
Armenian Cup
FC Van1-0
HT 0-0
FC Noah
16/04/25
Armenian Cup
FC Noah2-0
HT 1-0
FC Van

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Noah 7700 19521
2 Pyunik Yerevan 7520 15517
3 Ararat Armenia 7511 14716
4 Alashkert FC 7421 15314
5 Sardarapat FC 7322 131111
6 Shirak 7313 10710
7 FC Urartu 7223 9108
8 BKMA FC 7214 797
9 Ararat Yerevan 7205 5136
10 FC Van 7115 4194
11 Gandzasar Kapan 7106 8173
12 Syunik 7025 3162

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC NoahFC Van
BKMA FC 1-0 W 2-1 W
Alashkert FC 1-0 W 0-4 L
Shirak 4-3 W 0-4 L
Syunik 3-0 W 1-1 D
Pyunik Yerevan 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Noah (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Noah

WDWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-0 52 W
04/09 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
2-2 3-2 104 W
30/08 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
3-0 4-0 25 W
23/08 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-0 82 W
17/08 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-0 86 W
09/08 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
1-1 4-3 46 W
02/08 Syunik
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-0 41 W
27/05 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
2-0 5-0 40 W
23/05 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 D
19/05 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
3-1 8-3 35 W

FC Van

WLLLLLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
0-1 2-1 54 W
03/09 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-2 0-4 23 L
29/08 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-3 0-4 34 L
20/08 Syunik
Armenia Premier League
1-1 1-1 24 D
15/08 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-2 26 L
09/08 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-2 0-3 11 L
31/07 Sardarapat FC
Armenia Premier League
0-2 1-4 32 L
27/05 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
1-1 1-2 12 L
16/05 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-1 14 L
08/05 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Noah vs FC Van?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Noah win (83%). Probabilities: FC Noah 83%, draw 11%, FC Van 6%.

How many goals are expected in FC Noah vs FC Van?

The model expects 3.7 goals (FC Noah 2.85 · FC Van 0.85), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Noah vs FC Van?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.