Football · Armenia Premier League · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Alashkert FC vs Pyunik Yerevan

Team pages: Alashkert FC · Pyunik Yerevan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

Alashkert FC0.96

Pyunik Yerevan1.01

1X2

33% 31% 36%

Alashkert FC Draw Pyunik Yerevan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Alashkert FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWDWD

Pyunik Yerevan 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Alashkert FC 1–1–4 Pyunik Yerevan (6 last)

Alashkert FC0-1Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan1-0Alashkert FC
Alashkert FC1-2Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan1-1Alashkert FC
Alashkert FC0-2Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan0-2Alashkert FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alashkert FC 1537 · Pyunik Yerevan 1606

	Alashkert FC	Draw	Pyunik Yerevan
Our model	32%	34%	35%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pyunik Yerevan (rating 1537 vs 1606).
H2H favours Pyunik Yerevan: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alashkert FC	Pyunik Yerevan
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.4	1.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.9	1.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	1.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:23 +14’	2.60	3.20	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Alashkert FC 1–1–4 Pyunik Yerevan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Armenia Premier League	Alashkert FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Pyunik Yerevan
15/03/26 Armenia Premier League	Pyunik Yerevan	1-0 HT 1-0	Alashkert FC
04/08/25 Armenia Premier League	Alashkert FC	1-2 HT 1-0	Pyunik Yerevan
05/04/25 Armenia Premier League	Pyunik Yerevan	1-1 HT 1-1	Alashkert FC
25/02/25 Armenia Premier League	Alashkert FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Pyunik Yerevan
18/08/24 Armenia Premier League	Pyunik Yerevan	0-2 HT 0-1	Alashkert FC

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Noah	7	7	0	0	19	5	21
2	Pyunik Yerevan	7	5	2	0	15	5	17
3	Ararat Armenia	7	5	1	1	14	7	16
4	Alashkert FC	7	4	2	1	15	3	14
5	Sardarapat FC	7	3	2	2	13	11	11
6	Shirak	7	3	1	3	10	7	10
7	FC Urartu	7	2	2	3	9	10	8
8	BKMA FC	7	2	1	4	7	9	7
9	Ararat Yerevan	7	2	0	5	5	13	6
10	FC Van	7	1	1	5	4	19	4
11	Gandzasar Kapan	7	1	0	6	8	17	3
12	Syunik	7	0	2	5	3	16	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alashkert FC	Pyunik Yerevan
Sardarapat FC	1-1 D	4-2 W
FC Van	4-0 W	3-0 W
FC Urartu	1-1 D	2-2 D
Gandzasar Kapan	3-0 W	2-0 W
FC Noah	0-1 L	0-0 D
Ararat Yerevan	3-0 W	2-0 W
Shirak	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Alashkert FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alashkert FC

WWWWWLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League	0-1	1-1	11	2	D
03/09	FC Van Armenia Premier League	2-0	4-0	6	3	W
28/08	FC Urartu Armenia Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
21/08	Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
17/08	FC Noah Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
10/08	BKMA FC Armenia Premier League	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
03/08	Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League	0-0	3-0	5	7	W
26/05	Shirak Armenia Premier League	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
16/05	FC Van Armenia Premier League	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
09/05	Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League	2-0	3-1	–	–	W

Pyunik Yerevan

WDWDWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Shirak Armenia Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/09	Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League	1-1	4-2	6	1	W
04/09	Syunik Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
31/08	Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League	2-0	2-1	2	3	W
21/08	Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/08	FC Van Armenia Premier League	2-0	3-0	6	1	W
02/08	FC Urartu Armenia Premier League	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
27/05	FC Van Armenia Premier League	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
23/05	FC Noah Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/05	Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alashkert FC vs Pyunik Yerevan?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pyunik Yerevan win (36%). Probabilities: Alashkert FC 33%, draw 31%, Pyunik Yerevan 36%.

How many goals are expected in Alashkert FC vs Pyunik Yerevan?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Alashkert FC 0.96 · Pyunik Yerevan 1.01), with a 60% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Alashkert FC vs Pyunik Yerevan?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.