Football · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · 11/09, 20:00
Prediction: Atletico Andahuaylas (W) vs FBC Melgar (W)
Team pages: Atletico Andahuaylas (W) · FBC Melgar (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Atletico Andahuaylas (W)1.57
FBC Melgar (W)1.24
1X2
Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
Draw
FBC Melgar (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
FBC Melgar (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
1–0
FBC Melgar (W)
(1 last)
- FBC Melgar (W)1-2Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 1556 · FBC Melgar (W) 1522
| Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | Draw | FBC Melgar (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | FBC Melgar (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 2.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 2.1 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 1–0–0 FBC Melgar (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | FBC Melgar (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) |
Standings · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · Liga Femenina 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima (W) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar (W) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Carlos Mannucci (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Killas (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 6 |
| 8 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 6 |
| 9 | Flamengo FBC (W) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 10 | Yanapuma (W) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 3 |
| 11 | UNSAAC (W) | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
| 12 | Biavo FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | FBC Melgar (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Alianza Lima (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Sporting Cristal (W) | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Carlos Mannucci (W) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Killas (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| UNSAAC (W) | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Universitario de Deportes (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Flamengo FBC (W) | 2-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | 1-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Carlos Mannucci (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | FC Killas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/08 | UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
FBC Melgar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | FC Killas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/08 | Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/08 | Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-2 | 1-8 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Carlos Mannucci (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Andahuaylas (W) vs FBC Melgar (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Andahuaylas (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 44%, draw 27%, FBC Melgar (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Andahuaylas (W) vs FBC Melgar (W)?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 1.57 · FBC Melgar (W) 1.24), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Andahuaylas (W) vs FBC Melgar (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.