Football · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · 13/09, 20:00
Prediction: Carlos Mannucci (W) vs Sporting Cristal (W)
Team pages: Carlos Mannucci (W) · Sporting Cristal (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Carlos Mannucci (W)0.81
Sporting Cristal (W)2.81
1X2
Carlos Mannucci (W)
Draw
Sporting Cristal (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Mannucci (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Sporting Cristal (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Carlos Mannucci (W)
2–1–3
Sporting Cristal (W)
(6 last)
- Sporting Cristal (W)7-0Carlos Mannucci (W)
- Carlos Mannucci (W)2-2Sporting Cristal (W)
- Sporting Cristal (W)2-0Carlos Mannucci (W)
- Sporting Cristal (W)0-1Carlos Mannucci (W)
- Carlos Mannucci (W)0-1Sporting Cristal (W)
- Carlos Mannucci (W)1-0Sporting Cristal (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Mannucci (W) 1472 · Sporting Cristal (W) 1557
| Carlos Mannucci (W) | Draw | Sporting Cristal (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 6% | 13% | 81% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting Cristal (W) (rating 1472 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Sporting Cristal (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carlos Mannucci (W) | Sporting Cristal (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3.8 | 2.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/17/33% | 57/0/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlos Mannucci (W) 2–1–3 Sporting Cristal (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Sporting Cristal (W) | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Carlos Mannucci (W) |
| 26/08/25 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Carlos Mannucci (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Sporting Cristal (W) |
| 26/04/25 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Sporting Cristal (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Carlos Mannucci (W) |
| 26/07/24 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Sporting Cristal (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Carlos Mannucci (W) |
| 07/06/24 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Carlos Mannucci (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sporting Cristal (W) |
| 06/08/23 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Carlos Mannucci (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sporting Cristal (W) |
Standings · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · Liga Femenina 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima (W) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
| 2 | FBC Melgar (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Carlos Mannucci (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Killas (W) | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 9 |
| 8 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 6 |
| 9 | Flamengo FBC (W) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 10 | UNSAAC (W) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 4 |
| 11 | Yanapuma (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 3 |
| 12 | Biavo FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carlos Mannucci (W) | Sporting Cristal (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| UNSAAC (W) | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Killas (W) | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Flamengo FBC (W) | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Universitario de Deportes (W) | 0-12 L | 1-3 L |
| Yanapuma (W) | 0-6 L | 6-0 W |
| FBC Melgar (W) | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting Cristal (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Mannucci (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/08 | FC Killas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/07 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-3 | 0-12 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | FBC Melgar (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
Sporting Cristal (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | FC Killas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | FBC Melgar (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Mannucci (W) vs Sporting Cristal (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sporting Cristal (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Carlos Mannucci (W) 7%, draw 14%, Sporting Cristal (W) 80%.
How many goals are expected in Carlos Mannucci (W) vs Sporting Cristal (W)?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Carlos Mannucci (W) 0.81 · Sporting Cristal (W) 2.81), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Carlos Mannucci (W) vs Sporting Cristal (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.