Football · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · 11/09, 22:15
Prediction: FC Killas (W) vs Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
Team pages: FC Killas (W) · Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
FC Killas (W)1.91
Defensores Del Ilucan (W)1.67
1X2
FC Killas (W)
Draw
Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Killas (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Killas (W)
2–3
Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
(5 last)
- Defensores Del Ilucan (W)1-6FC Killas (W)
- FC Killas (W)4-1Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
- Defensores Del Ilucan (W)2-0FC Killas (W)
- Defensores Del Ilucan (W)3-0FC Killas (W)
- FC Killas (W)0-1Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Killas (W) 1450 · Defensores Del Ilucan (W) 1409
| FC Killas (W) | Draw | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Killas (W) (rating 1450 vs 1409).
- H2H favours Defensores Del Ilucan (W): 3-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Killas (W) | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.1 | 0.8 / 4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 0.2 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/0/80% | 17/17/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2 | 0.5 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Killas (W) 2–0–3 Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | 1-6 HT 0-3 | FC Killas (W) |
| 01/09/25 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | FC Killas (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) |
| 30/04/25 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | 2-0 | FC Killas (W) |
| 16/06/24 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | 3-0 | FC Killas (W) |
| 19/06/23 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | FC Killas (W) | 0-1 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) |
Standings · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · Liga Femenina 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima (W) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar (W) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Carlos Mannucci (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Killas (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 6 |
| 8 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 6 |
| 9 | Flamengo FBC (W) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 10 | Yanapuma (W) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 3 |
| 11 | UNSAAC (W) | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
| 12 | Biavo FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Killas (W) | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar (W) | 0-1 L | 0-8 L |
| Sporting Cristal (W) | 0-4 L | 2-4 L |
| Yanapuma (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Carlos Mannucci (W) | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| UNSAAC (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Alianza Lima (W) | 0-3 L | 0-10 L |
| Flamengo FBC (W) | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Universitario de Deportes (W) | 0-2 L | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 7 L | 2 W 0 D 7 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Killas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | FBC Melgar (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/08 | Carlos Mannucci (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
3-0 | 6-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Carlos Mannucci (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 14/08 | Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | FBC Melgar (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-2 | 0-8 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 06/08 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-5 | 0-10 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | FC Killas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-3 | 1-6 | 9 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Killas (W) vs Defensores Del Ilucan (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Killas (W) win (42%). Probabilities: FC Killas (W) 42%, draw 25%, Defensores Del Ilucan (W) 33%.
How many goals are expected in FC Killas (W) vs Defensores Del Ilucan (W)?
The model expects 3.58 goals (FC Killas (W) 1.91 · Defensores Del Ilucan (W) 1.67), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Killas (W) vs Defensores Del Ilucan (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.