Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 24/08, 23:30
Prediction: Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)
Team pages: Internacional FC de Palmira (W) · Atletico Nacional (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)0.6
Atletico Nacional (W)1.8
1X2
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Draw
Atletico Nacional (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Atletico Nacional (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
0–2–3
Atletico Nacional (W)
(5 last)
- Internacional FC de Palmira (W)0-1Atletico Nacional (W)
- Internacional FC de Palmira (W)0-0Atletico Nacional (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)1-0Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
- Internacional FC de Palmira (W)0-0Atletico Nacional (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)3-1Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 1484 · Atletico Nacional (W) 1579
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | Draw | Atletico Nacional (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 24% | 65% |
| Market | 11% | 23% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Nacional (W) (rating 1484 vs 1579).
- H2H favours Atletico Nacional (W): 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | Atletico Nacional (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.7 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 0–2–3 Atletico Nacional (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 09/04/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 09/03/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) |
| 19/04/23 Colombia Liga Femenina | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 27/02/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Millonarios (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | Atletico Nacional (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Orsomarso (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Llaneros (W) | 0-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Nacional (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 11/05 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Atletico Nacional (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Nacional (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 11%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional (W) 66%.
How many goals are expected in Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 0.6 · Atletico Nacional (W) 1.8), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.