Football · Albania First Division · 24/10, 13:30

Prediction: Besa Kavaje vs KS Korabi Peshkopi

Team pages: Besa Kavaje · KS Korabi Peshkopi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Besa Kavaje2

KS Korabi Peshkopi0.66

1X2

69% 21% 11%

Besa Kavaje Draw KS Korabi Peshkopi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Besa Kavaje 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDDWWLWL

KS Korabi Peshkopi 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDWWDLLD

Head-to-head

Besa Kavaje 4–2–0 KS Korabi Peshkopi (6 last)

Besa Kavaje1-1KS Korabi Peshkopi
Besa Kavaje3-1KS Korabi Peshkopi
KS Korabi Peshkopi0-0Besa Kavaje
KS Korabi Peshkopi0-2Besa Kavaje
KS Korabi Peshkopi0-3Besa Kavaje
Besa Kavaje1-0KS Korabi Peshkopi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Besa Kavaje 1550 · KS Korabi Peshkopi 1493

	Besa Kavaje	Draw	KS Korabi Peshkopi
Our model	68%	22%	10%
Market	69%	20%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Besa Kavaje (rating 1550 vs 1493).
H2H favours Besa Kavaje: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Besa Kavaje	KS Korabi Peshkopi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.50

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:03 +7’	1.30	4.50	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Besa Kavaje 4–2–0 KS Korabi Peshkopi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Albania First Division	Besa Kavaje	1-1 HT 1-0	KS Korabi Peshkopi
28/11/25 Albania First Division	Besa Kavaje	3-1 HT 2-0	KS Korabi Peshkopi
30/08/25 Albania First Division	KS Korabi Peshkopi	0-0 HT 0-0	Besa Kavaje
23/02/25 Albania First Division	KS Korabi Peshkopi	0-2 HT 0-1	Besa Kavaje
24/11/24 Albania First Division	KS Korabi Peshkopi	0-3 HT 0-2	Besa Kavaje
01/09/24 Albania First Division	Besa Kavaje	1-0 HT 0-0	KS Korabi Peshkopi

Standings · Albania First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogradeci	6	3	3	0	9	3	12
2	Besa Kavaje	6	3	1	2	15	7	10
3	Bylis Ballsh	6	2	4	0	5	3	10
4	KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
5	KS Flamurtari Vlore	6	2	3	1	10	6	9
6	FK Kukesi	6	3	0	3	8	7	9
7	KF Beselidhja Lezhe	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
8	KS Korabi Peshkopi	6	2	2	2	4	7	8
9	Kastrioti Krujë	6	2	2	2	8	9	8
10	KS Sopoti Librazhd	6	1	3	2	7	11	6
11	KS Burreli	6	1	3	2	5	7	6
12	KF Oriku	6	0	0	6	2	15	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Besa Kavaje	KS Korabi Peshkopi
FK Kukesi	0-2 L	0-3 L
KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje	2-0 W	1-1 D
KF Beselidhja Lezhe	1-2 L	2-1 W
KF Oriku	5-0 W	1-0 W
Pogradeci	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Besa Kavaje (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Besa Kavaje

DLWDDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FK Kukesi Albania First Division	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
11/10	KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje Albania First Division	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/09	KF Beselidhja Lezhe Albania First Division	0-2	1-2	6	8	L
16/09	KF Oriku Albania First Division	1-0	5-0	5	2	W
12/09	KS Sopoti Librazhd Albania First Division	2-0	4-0	3	3	W
06/09	KS Flamurtari Vlore Albania First Division	2-1	3-3	1	7	D
11/05	Pogradeci Albania First Division	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
07/05	KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje Albania First Division	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	FK Kukesi Albania First Division	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	KS Korabi Peshkopi Albania First Division	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

KS Korabi Peshkopi

DDDDWWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bylis Ballsh Albania First Division	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
11/10	Pogradeci Albania First Division	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
20/09	FK Kukesi Albania First Division	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
16/09	KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje Albania First Division	0-1	1-1	8	8	D
12/09	KF Beselidhja Lezhe Albania First Division	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	KF Oriku Albania First Division	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
03/05	KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje Albania First Division	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	Besa Kavaje Albania First Division	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/04	FK Kukesi Albania First Division	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
11/04	Apolonia Fier Albania First Division	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Besa Kavaje vs KS Korabi Peshkopi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Besa Kavaje win (69%). Probabilities: Besa Kavaje 69%, draw 21%, KS Korabi Peshkopi 11%.

How many goals are expected in Besa Kavaje vs KS Korabi Peshkopi?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Besa Kavaje 2 · KS Korabi Peshkopi 0.66), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Besa Kavaje vs KS Korabi Peshkopi?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.