Football · Belarus Premier League · 02/09, 19:30
Prediction: Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk
Team pages: Dinamo Minsk · Naftan Novopolotsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Dinamo Minsk2.31
Naftan Novopolotsk1.11
1X2
Dinamo Minsk
Draw
Naftan Novopolotsk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Dinamo Minsk
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Naftan Novopolotsk
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dinamo Minsk
5–1–0
Naftan Novopolotsk
(6 last)
- Naftan Novopolotsk1-3Dinamo Minsk
- Dinamo Minsk1-0Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk1-2Dinamo Minsk
- Dinamo Minsk2-2Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-3Dinamo Minsk
- Dinamo Minsk3-1Naftan Novopolotsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Minsk (rating 1535 vs 1411).
- H2H favours Dinamo Minsk: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dinamo Minsk | Naftan Novopolotsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.1 | – / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Minsk 5–1–0 Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 31/05/25 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 13/10/24 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 07/04/24 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 02/09/23 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 22/04/23 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 14 | 38 |
| 2 | Isloch | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | FC Vitebsk | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 32 |
| 6 | Dinamo Brest | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 21 | 31 |
| 7 | Neman Grodno | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 17 | 30 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 21 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 17 |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 15 |
| 15 | Belshina Bobruisk | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 15 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 44 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dinamo Minsk | Naftan Novopolotsk |
|---|---|---|
| FC Baranovichi | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Isloch | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 4-0 W | 0-4 L |
| FC Vitebsk | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Neman Grodno | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Gomel | 2-1 W | 0-6 L |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 3-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Minsk (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dinamo Minsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 24/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Minsk win (63%). Probabilities: Dinamo Minsk 63%, draw 21%, Naftan Novopolotsk 16%.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Dinamo Minsk 2.31 · Naftan Novopolotsk 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.