Football · Belarus Premier League · 06/09, 12:00
Prediction: Naftan Novopolotsk vs FC Minsk
Team pages: Naftan Novopolotsk · FC Minsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Naftan Novopolotsk1.56
FC Minsk1.84
1X2
Naftan Novopolotsk
Draw
FC Minsk
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Naftan Novopolotsk
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
FC Minsk
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Naftan Novopolotsk
1–1–4
FC Minsk
(6 last)
- FC Minsk4-2Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-3FC Minsk
- FC Minsk1-2Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-2FC Minsk
- FC Minsk1-1Naftan Novopolotsk
- FC Minsk1-0Naftan Novopolotsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Minsk (rating 1416 vs 1512).
- H2H favours FC Minsk: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Naftan Novopolotsk | FC Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.9 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.7 | – / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naftan Novopolotsk 1–1–4 FC Minsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 02/08/25 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Minsk |
| 13/03/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 31/08/24 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FC Minsk |
| 20/04/24 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 25/08/23 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 41 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 39 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 39 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | FC Vitebsk | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 32 |
| 6 | Dinamo Brest | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 21 | 31 |
| 7 | Neman Grodno | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 17 | 30 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 21 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 17 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 33 | 16 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 15 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 49 | 10 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Naftan Novopolotsk | FC Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk | 1-5 L | 0-3 L |
| FC Vitebsk | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Neman Grodno | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Gomel | 0-6 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| Dinamo Brest | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Baranovichi | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 6 L | 3 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Minsk (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naftan Novopolotsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
FC Minsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 21/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naftan Novopolotsk vs FC Minsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Minsk win (43%). Probabilities: Naftan Novopolotsk 32%, draw 24%, FC Minsk 43%.
How many goals are expected in Naftan Novopolotsk vs FC Minsk?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Naftan Novopolotsk 1.56 · FC Minsk 1.84), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Naftan Novopolotsk vs FC Minsk?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.