Football · Hungary NB II · 22/08, 17:30

Prediction: Fehervar FC vs Mezokovesd Zsory

Team pages: Fehervar FC · Mezokovesd Zsory

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Fehervar FC1.29

Mezokovesd Zsory0.9

1X2

45% 29% 26%

Fehervar FC Draw Mezokovesd Zsory

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fehervar FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLWLWL

Mezokovesd Zsory 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Fehervar FC 4–2–0 Mezokovesd Zsory (6 last)

Mezokovesd Zsory0-2Fehervar FC
Fehervar FC1-1Mezokovesd Zsory
Fehervar FC5-0Mezokovesd Zsory
Mezokovesd Zsory0-2Fehervar FC
Fehervar FC2-0Mezokovesd Zsory
Fehervar FC1-1Mezokovesd Zsory

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fehervar FC 1482 · Mezokovesd Zsory 1436

	Fehervar FC	Draw	Mezokovesd Zsory
Our model	44%	31%	25%
Market	46%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fehervar FC (rating 1482 vs 1436).
H2H favours Fehervar FC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fehervar FC	Mezokovesd Zsory
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.5	2.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.5	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 1.95▼	Bet365 1.95
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	3.00 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.76 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:55 +4’	2.15	3.10	3.00
22:14 +8’	1.95▼	3.20▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:20 +2’	1.94	3.08	3.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fehervar FC 4–2–0 Mezokovesd Zsory

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Hungary NB II	Mezokovesd Zsory	0-2 HT 0-0	Fehervar FC
05/10/25 Hungary NB II	Fehervar FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Mezokovesd Zsory
06/04/24 Hungary NB I	Fehervar FC	5-0 HT 1-0	Mezokovesd Zsory
10/12/23 Hungary NB I	Mezokovesd Zsory	0-2 HT 0-0	Fehervar FC
27/08/23 Hungary NB I	Fehervar FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Mezokovesd Zsory
07/05/23 Hungary NB I	Fehervar FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Mezokovesd Zsory

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
2	Gyirmot SE	4	3	1	0	8	4	10
3	Kazincbarcikai BSC	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
4	Szentlorinc SE	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	Kecskemeti TE	4	2	1	1	5	5	7
6	Fehervar FC	4	2	0	2	7	5	6
7	Tiszakecske FC	4	1	3	0	6	5	6
8	FC Ajka	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
9	Diosgyori VTK	3	1	1	1	4	7	4
10	Karcagi SE	4	0	4	0	6	6	4
11	Mezokovesd Zsory	3	1	0	2	1	2	3
12	Csakvari TK	4	1	0	3	6	8	3
13	FC Nagykanizsa	4	1	0	3	4	6	3
14	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	3	0	1	2	1	3	1
15	BVSC Zuglo	3	0	1	2	0	2	1
16	Kozarmisleny SE	4	0	0	4	2	10	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fehervar FC	Mezokovesd Zsory
Kecskemeti TE	1-2 L	1-2 L
Budafoki MTE	1-3 L	2-0 W
BVSC Zuglo	0-1 L	1-0 W
Soroksar	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mezokovesd Zsory (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fehervar FC

DWLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
08/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	0	15	W
01/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	7	1	L
25/07	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	4-0	8	5	W
17/05	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	8	2	L
10/05	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
03/05	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
26/04	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	8	8	L
19/04	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
11/04	Soroksar Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	2	6	D

Mezokovesd Zsory

LWLDWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
08/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
26/07	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
17/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
10/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
03/05	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
26/04	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
18/04	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
05/04	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fehervar FC vs Mezokovesd Zsory?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fehervar FC win (45%). Probabilities: Fehervar FC 45%, draw 29%, Mezokovesd Zsory 26%.

How many goals are expected in Fehervar FC vs Mezokovesd Zsory?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Fehervar FC 1.29 · Mezokovesd Zsory 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fehervar FC vs Mezokovesd Zsory?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.