Football · Hungary NB II · 22/08, 17:30

Prediction: Kozarmisleny SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Team pages: Kozarmisleny SE · Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

Kozarmisleny SE1.01

Szeged-Csanad Grosics1.12

1X2

32% 30% 38%

Kozarmisleny SE Draw Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kozarmisleny SE 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLLLL

Szeged-Csanad Grosics 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWLDLL

Head-to-head

Kozarmisleny SE 1–2–3 Szeged-Csanad Grosics (6 last)

Kozarmisleny SE2-1Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Szeged-Csanad Grosics1-0Kozarmisleny SE
Szeged-Csanad Grosics2-0Kozarmisleny SE
Kozarmisleny SE0-0Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Szeged-Csanad Grosics2-0Kozarmisleny SE
Kozarmisleny SE1-1Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kozarmisleny SE 1524 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics 1438

	Kozarmisleny SE	Draw	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Our model	31%	32%	37%
Market	33%	29%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kozarmisleny SE (rating 1524 vs 1438).
H2H favours Szeged-Csanad Grosics: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kozarmisleny SE	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	0.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.6	2.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.4	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.10

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.17 ★
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	2.35 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:52 +7’	2.75	3.10	2.35
09:16 +30’	3.10▲	3.20▲	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:20 +2’	3.17	3.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kozarmisleny SE 1–2–3 Szeged-Csanad Grosics

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	2-1 HT 1-0	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
24/08/25 Hungary NB II	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	1-0 HT 1-0	Kozarmisleny SE
16/02/25 Hungary NB II	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	2-0 HT 0-0	Kozarmisleny SE
04/08/24 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	0-0 HT 0-0	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
10/03/24 Hungary NB II	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	2-0 HT 1-0	Kozarmisleny SE
03/09/23 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	1-1 HT 1-0	Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
2	Gyirmot SE	4	3	1	0	8	4	10
3	Kazincbarcikai BSC	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
4	Szentlorinc SE	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	Kecskemeti TE	4	2	1	1	5	5	7
6	Fehervar FC	4	2	0	2	7	5	6
7	Tiszakecske FC	4	1	3	0	6	5	6
8	FC Ajka	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
9	Diosgyori VTK	3	1	1	1	4	7	4
10	Karcagi SE	4	0	4	0	6	6	4
11	Mezokovesd Zsory	3	1	0	2	1	2	3
12	Csakvari TK	4	1	0	3	6	8	3
13	FC Nagykanizsa	4	1	0	3	4	6	3
14	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	3	0	1	2	1	3	1
15	BVSC Zuglo	3	0	1	2	0	2	1
16	Kozarmisleny SE	4	0	0	4	2	10	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kozarmisleny SE	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Csakvari TK	0-2 L	0-1 L
Gyirmot SE	1-2 L	0-1 L
Fehervar FC	0-4 L	0-1 L
FC Ajka	1-1 D	3-0 W
Kispest Honved	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Szeged-Csanad Grosics (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kozarmisleny SE

WDWWWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
01/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	2	13	L
25/07	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-4	3	5	L
17/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
10/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
03/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
26/04	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
19/04	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
11/04	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	3	4	W

Szeged-Csanad Grosics

LDLLDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
08/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	15	L
25/07	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
10/05	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
03/05	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
26/04	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
19/04	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
11/04	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
05/04	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-4	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kozarmisleny SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Szeged-Csanad Grosics win (38%). Probabilities: Kozarmisleny SE 32%, draw 30%, Szeged-Csanad Grosics 38%.

How many goals are expected in Kozarmisleny SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Kozarmisleny SE 1.01 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics 1.12), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kozarmisleny SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.