Football · Hungary NB II · 22/08, 17:30

Prediction: BVSC Zuglo vs Karcagi SE

Team pages: BVSC Zuglo · Karcagi SE

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
BVSC Zuglo1.3
Karcagi SE0.86
1X2
46% 29% 24%
BVSC Zuglo Draw Karcagi SE
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
BVSC Zuglo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLWDWDLL
Karcagi SE 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
WLDLLLDDDD
Head-to-head
BVSC Zuglo 2–1–0 Karcagi SE (3 last)
  • Karcagi SE1-3BVSC Zuglo
  • BVSC Zuglo1-1Karcagi SE
  • BVSC Zuglo5-0Karcagi SE
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BVSC Zuglo 1505 · Karcagi SE 1453
BVSC ZugloDrawKarcagi SE
Our model46%31%23%
Market47%28%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BVSC Zuglo (rating 1505 vs 1453).
  • H2H favours BVSC Zuglo: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BVSC ZugloKarcagi SE
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.91 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 51.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 04.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · BVSC Zuglo 210 Karcagi SE

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Hungary NB II
Karcagi SE1-3
HT 1-1
BVSC Zuglo
24/08/25
Hungary NB II
BVSC Zuglo1-1
HT 1-1
Karcagi SE
11/09/22
Hungary NB III
BVSC Zuglo5-0
HT 2-0
Karcagi SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Soroksar 4310 8210
2 Gyirmot SE 4310 8410
3 Kazincbarcikai BSC 4220 748
4 Szentlorinc SE 3210 427
5 Kecskemeti TE 4211 557
6 Fehervar FC 4202 756
7 Tiszakecske FC 4130 656
8 FC Ajka 3120 535
9 Diosgyori VTK 3111 474
10 Karcagi SE 4040 664
11 Mezokovesd Zsory 3102 123
12 Csakvari TK 4103 683
13 FC Nagykanizsa 4103 463
14 Szeged-Csanad Grosics 3012 131
15 BVSC Zuglo 3012 021
16 Kozarmisleny SE 4004 2100

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBVSC ZugloKarcagi SE
Kecskemeti TE 0-1 L 1-2 L
Szentlorinc SE 0-2 L 0-0 D
Soroksar 1-2 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Karcagi SE (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BVSC Zuglo

LDWLWDWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Mezokovesd Zsory
Hungary NB II
0-1 0-1 33 L
08/08 Kecskemeti TE
Hungary NB II
0-0 0-1 73 L
25/07 Kazincbarcikai BSC
Hungary NB II
0-0 0-0 86 D
17/05 Kispest Honved
Hungary NB II
2-1 4-1 03 W
10/05 Budafoki MTE
Hungary NB II
0-1 1-1 24 D
03/05 Fehervar FC
Hungary NB II
1-0 1-0 95 W
26/04 Szentlorinc SE
Hungary NB II
0-1 0-2 53 L
20/04 Vasas SC
Hungary NB II
0-0 2-0 55 W
11/04 Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Hungary NB II
1-0 1-1 82 D
05/04 Soroksar
Hungary NB II
0-1 1-2 38 L

Karcagi SE

WLDLLLDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Tiszakecske FC
Hungary NB II
1-0 3-3 67 D
08/08 FC Ajka
Hungary NB II
0-0 1-1 14 D
02/08 Soroksar
Hungary NB II
2-2 2-2 25 D
26/07 Szentlorinc SE
Hungary NB II
0-0 0-0 21 D
17/05 Kozarmisleny SE
Hungary NB II
1-0 1-2 57 L
10/05 Tiszakecske FC
Hungary NB II
0-0 0-1 43 L
03/05 Szentlorinc SE
Hungary NB II
0-0 0-1 104 L
26/04 Bekescsabai Elore SE
Hungary NB II
0-0 0-0 59 D
19/04 Kecskemeti TE
Hungary NB II
0-2 1-2 76 L
11/04 Csakvari TK
Hungary NB II
1-1 2-1 03 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BVSC Zuglo vs Karcagi SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BVSC Zuglo win (46%). Probabilities: BVSC Zuglo 46%, draw 29%, Karcagi SE 24%.

How many goals are expected in BVSC Zuglo vs Karcagi SE?

The model expects 2.16 goals (BVSC Zuglo 1.3 · Karcagi SE 0.86), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in BVSC Zuglo vs Karcagi SE?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.