Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: CS Petrocub vs FC Milsami

Team pages: CS Petrocub · FC Milsami

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

CS Petrocub1.6

FC Milsami1.17

1X2

46% 27% 27%

CS Petrocub Draw FC Milsami

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Petrocub 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLLWDWWDD

FC Milsami 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWDWLWDD

Head-to-head

CS Petrocub 4–1–1 FC Milsami (6 last)

FC Milsami1-0CS Petrocub
CS Petrocub5-0FC Milsami
FC Milsami0-3CS Petrocub
CS Petrocub2-0FC Milsami
FC Milsami1-2CS Petrocub
FC Milsami1-1CS Petrocub

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Petrocub 1571 · FC Milsami 1476

	CS Petrocub	Draw	FC Milsami
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	46%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Petrocub (rating 1571 vs 1476).
H2H favours CS Petrocub: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Petrocub	FC Milsami
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.8 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.30

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.95
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.49 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +3’	1.95	3.30	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +37’	1.95	3.05	3.49

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Petrocub 4–1–1 FC Milsami

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Milsami	1-0 HT 1-0	CS Petrocub
04/07/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	CS Petrocub	5-0 HT 2-0	FC Milsami
02/05/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Milsami	0-3 HT 0-0	CS Petrocub
21/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	CS Petrocub	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Milsami
02/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Milsami	1-2 HT 0-1	CS Petrocub
24/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Milsami	1-1 HT 1-0	CS Petrocub

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	15	10	4	1	39	12	34
2	Zimbru Chisinau	15	8	4	3	29	14	28
3	CS Petrocub	15	7	5	3	25	14	26
4	Dacia Buiucani	15	6	3	6	19	21	21
5	FC Politehnica Chisinau	15	5	4	6	25	23	19
6	FC Milsami	15	4	7	4	17	21	19
7	FC Real Sireti	15	1	7	7	11	21	10
8	FC Balti	15	1	2	12	10	49	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Petrocub	FC Milsami
Dacia Buiucani	0-0 D	0-0 D
Zimbru Chisinau	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Politehnica Chisinau	1-0 W	3-3 D
FC Real Sireti	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sheriff Tiraspol	2-2 D	0-1 L
FC Balti	3-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CS Petrocub (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Petrocub

WWLLWDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
11/10	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
19/09	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
05/09	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-2	1	2	D
30/08	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	13	1	W
22/08	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
15/08	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-2	6	8	L
09/08	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
02/08	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-1	0	1	W

FC Milsami

DDLWDWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/10	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-1	3-3	2	4	D
20/09	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
13/09	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-1	10	6	L
06/09	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-1	3-1	7	3	W
30/08	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
22/08	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
16/08	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	2-4	2	10	L
08/08	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
01/08	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-2	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Petrocub vs FC Milsami?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Petrocub win (46%). Probabilities: CS Petrocub 46%, draw 27%, FC Milsami 27%.

How many goals are expected in CS Petrocub vs FC Milsami?

The model expects 2.77 goals (CS Petrocub 1.6 · FC Milsami 1.17), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Petrocub vs FC Milsami?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.