Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Dacia Buiucani vs FC Real Sireti

Team pages: Dacia Buiucani · FC Real Sireti

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Dacia Buiucani1.37

FC Real Sireti1.04

1X2

44% 28% 28%

Dacia Buiucani Draw FC Real Sireti

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Dacia Buiucani 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLWWLD

FC Real Sireti 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDDDDLLLWL

Head-to-head

Dacia Buiucani 1–2–0 FC Real Sireti (3 last)

FC Real Sireti0-0Dacia Buiucani
Dacia Buiucani3-0FC Real Sireti
FC Real Sireti2-2Dacia Buiucani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dacia Buiucani 1501 · FC Real Sireti 1454

	Dacia Buiucani	Draw	FC Real Sireti
Our model	43%	30%	27%
Market	45%	26%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dacia Buiucani (rating 1501 vs 1454).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dacia Buiucani	FC Real Sireti
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.4	0.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 2.00▲	Pinn 2.27 ★
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	3.70 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:12 +8’	1.80	3.50	3.70
03:30 +3’	2.00▲	3.40▼	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +9’	2.01	3.15	3.21
02:53 +40’	2.26▲	2.88▼	2.93▼
10:04 +73’	2.27▲	2.90▲	2.95▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dacia Buiucani 1–2–0 FC Real Sireti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Real Sireti	0-0 HT 0-0	Dacia Buiucani
05/07/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Dacia Buiucani	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Real Sireti
18/02/26 Other Match	FC Real Sireti	2-2 HT 2-2	Dacia Buiucani

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	15	10	4	1	39	12	34
2	Zimbru Chisinau	15	8	4	3	29	14	28
3	CS Petrocub	15	7	5	3	25	14	26
4	Dacia Buiucani	15	6	3	6	19	21	21
5	FC Politehnica Chisinau	15	5	4	6	25	23	19
6	FC Milsami	15	4	7	4	17	21	19
7	FC Real Sireti	15	1	7	7	11	21	10
8	FC Balti	15	1	2	12	10	49	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dacia Buiucani	FC Real Sireti
CS Petrocub	0-0 D	1-2 L
Sheriff Tiraspol	2-5 L	0-2 L
Zimbru Chisinau	1-0 W	0-2 L
FC Balti	3-0 W	3-0 W
FC Politehnica Chisinau	1-2 L	0-0 D
FC Milsami	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dacia Buiucani (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dacia Buiucani

LLWDDLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
10/10	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-2	2-5	4	9	L
19/09	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-0	5	8	W
13/09	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
05/09	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
30/08	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/08	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
15/08	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
09/08	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-1	0	6	L
02/08	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-3	0-4	4	4	L

FC Real Sireti

DDDDDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
10/10	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
20/09	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
12/09	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
06/09	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
29/08	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
23/08	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
16/08	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
08/08	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
01/08	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dacia Buiucani vs FC Real Sireti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dacia Buiucani win (44%). Probabilities: Dacia Buiucani 44%, draw 28%, FC Real Sireti 28%.

How many goals are expected in Dacia Buiucani vs FC Real Sireti?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Dacia Buiucani 1.37 · FC Real Sireti 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dacia Buiucani vs FC Real Sireti?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.