Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Real Sireti

Team pages: Zimbru Chisinau · FC Real Sireti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Zimbru Chisinau2.12

FC Real Sireti0.71

1X2

70% 19% 11%

Zimbru Chisinau Draw FC Real Sireti

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Zimbru Chisinau 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLDDWD

FC Real Sireti 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDDLLLWLLW

Head-to-head

Zimbru Chisinau 1–1–0 FC Real Sireti (2 last)

FC Real Sireti0-2Zimbru Chisinau
Zimbru Chisinau1-1FC Real Sireti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zimbru Chisinau 1573 · FC Real Sireti 1487

	Zimbru Chisinau	Draw	FC Real Sireti
Our model	69%	21%	10%
Market	71%	17%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zimbru Chisinau (rating 1573 vs 1487).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Real Sireti
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5	0.5 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.25

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.98

2 (+1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.27▲	Bet365 1.27
X	6.25 → 5.25▼	Pinn 5.28
2	9.00 → 7.50▼	Pinn 8.38 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:46 +33’	1.18	6.25	9.00
02:23 +5’	1.20▲	6.00▼	9.50▲
07:59 +4’	1.27▲	5.25▼	7.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:25 +3’	1.24	5.17	8.06
05:48 +9’	1.24▲	5.15▼	8.04▼
11:02 +15’	1.25▲	5.28▲	8.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zimbru Chisinau 1–1–0 FC Real Sireti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Real Sireti	0-2 HT 0-1	Zimbru Chisinau
18/07/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Zimbru Chisinau	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Real Sireti

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	18	11	6	1	43	14	39
2	Zimbru Chisinau	18	10	5	3	38	15	35
3	CS Petrocub	18	9	6	3	34	16	33
4	Dacia Buiucani	17	7	3	7	22	23	24
5	FC Milsami	17	5	7	5	19	23	22
6	FC Politehnica Chisinau	17	5	4	8	26	27	19
7	FC Real Sireti	18	2	7	9	14	29	13
8	FC Balti	17	1	2	14	10	59	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Real Sireti
Sheriff Tiraspol	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Balti	4-0 W	3-0 W
FC Milsami	1-1 D	1-2 L
CS Petrocub	1-1 D	1-2 L
Dacia Buiucani	0-1 L	1-3 L
FC Politehnica Chisinau	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Zimbru Chisinau (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zimbru Chisinau

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
25/10	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	4-0	6	5	W
18/10	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
11/10	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
19/09	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-1	8	8	L
12/09	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-1	2-1	2	2	W
06/09	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
29/08	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
22/08	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
16/08	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	4-2	5	10	W

FC Real Sireti

DDDLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
24/10	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-3	5	3	L
17/10	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
10/10	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
20/09	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
12/09	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
06/09	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
29/08	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
23/08	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
16/08	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-1	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Real Sireti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zimbru Chisinau win (70%). Probabilities: Zimbru Chisinau 70%, draw 19%, FC Real Sireti 11%.

How many goals are expected in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Real Sireti?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Zimbru Chisinau 2.12 · FC Real Sireti 0.71), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Real Sireti?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.