Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: CS Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Team pages: CS Petrocub · Sheriff Tiraspol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

CS Petrocub1.26

Sheriff Tiraspol1.41

1X2

32% 29% 39%

CS Petrocub Draw Sheriff Tiraspol

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Petrocub 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWDDWW

Sheriff Tiraspol 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWWWD

Head-to-head

CS Petrocub 2–1–3 Sheriff Tiraspol (6 last)

Sheriff Tiraspol2-2CS Petrocub
CS Petrocub2-3Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol2-0CS Petrocub
CS Petrocub1-0Sheriff Tiraspol
CS Petrocub1-0Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol1-0CS Petrocub

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Petrocub 1552 · Sheriff Tiraspol 1594

	CS Petrocub	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
Our model	32%	28%	39%
Market	32%	29%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheriff Tiraspol (rating 1552 vs 1594).
H2H favours Sheriff Tiraspol: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Petrocub	Sheriff Tiraspol
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.8	2.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.6	3.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.10

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 2.80▼	Pinn 3.11 ★
X	3.50 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	1.80 → 2.30▲	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:24 +5’	3.70	3.50	1.80
06:03 +6’	3.00▼	3.10▼	2.15▲
11:07 +26’	2.80▼	3.10	2.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:23 +21’	3.10	2.87	2.24
14:31 +1’	3.11▲	3.00▲	2.22▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Petrocub 2–1–3 Sheriff Tiraspol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Sheriff Tiraspol	2-2 HT 0-0	CS Petrocub
19/07/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	CS Petrocub	2-3 HT 0-1	Sheriff Tiraspol
13/05/26 Moldova Cup	Sheriff Tiraspol	2-0 HT 1-0	CS Petrocub
06/05/26 Moldova Cup	CS Petrocub	1-0 HT 1-0	Sheriff Tiraspol
26/04/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	CS Petrocub	1-0 HT 1-0	Sheriff Tiraspol
14/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Sheriff Tiraspol	1-0 HT 1-0	CS Petrocub

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	18	11	6	1	43	14	39
2	Zimbru Chisinau	18	10	5	3	38	15	35
3	CS Petrocub	18	9	6	3	34	16	33
4	Dacia Buiucani	17	7	3	7	22	23	24
5	FC Milsami	17	5	7	5	19	23	22
6	FC Politehnica Chisinau	17	5	4	8	26	27	19
7	FC Real Sireti	18	2	7	9	14	29	13
8	FC Balti	17	1	2	14	10	59	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Petrocub	Sheriff Tiraspol
FC Balti	6-0 W	7-0 W
FC Milsami	2-1 W	1-0 W
Dacia Buiucani	0-0 D	5-2 W
Zimbru Chisinau	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Politehnica Chisinau	1-0 W	2-0 W
FC Real Sireti	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sheriff Tiraspol (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Petrocub

LLWDWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	6-0	7	1	W
24/10	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-1	2-1	5	8	W
17/10	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
11/10	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
19/09	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
05/09	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-2	1	2	D
30/08	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	13	1	W
22/08	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
15/08	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-2	6	8	L

Sheriff Tiraspol

DWLDWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
24/10	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
17/10	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
10/10	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	5-2	2	9	W
20/09	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	3-0	7-0	9	0	W
13/09	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
05/09	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-2	7	2	D
29/08	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
23/08	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
16/08	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-1	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheriff Tiraspol win (39%). Probabilities: CS Petrocub 32%, draw 29%, Sheriff Tiraspol 39%.

How many goals are expected in CS Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

The model expects 2.67 goals (CS Petrocub 1.26 · Sheriff Tiraspol 1.41), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.