Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Dacia Buiucani vs FC Politehnica Chisinau

Team pages: Dacia Buiucani · FC Politehnica Chisinau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Dacia Buiucani1.59

FC Politehnica Chisinau1.59

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Dacia Buiucani Draw FC Politehnica Chisinau

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dacia Buiucani 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Politehnica Chisinau 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLDWLL

Head-to-head

Dacia Buiucani 2–3 FC Politehnica Chisinau (5 last)

FC Politehnica Chisinau2-1Dacia Buiucani
Dacia Buiucani1-5FC Politehnica Chisinau
FC Politehnica Chisinau2-1Dacia Buiucani
Dacia Buiucani4-1FC Politehnica Chisinau
FC Politehnica Chisinau2-3Dacia Buiucani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dacia Buiucani 1511 · FC Politehnica Chisinau 1503

	Dacia Buiucani	Draw	FC Politehnica Chisinau
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	36%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Politehnica Chisinau: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dacia Buiucani	FC Politehnica Chisinau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.30

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.65 ★
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	2.90 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:34 +23’	2.10	3.40	2.90
04:10 +2’	2.45▲	3.30▼	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:11 +4’	2.60	3.17	2.39
03:20 +52’	2.62▲	3.12▼	2.41▲
14:09 +11’	2.65▲	3.17▲	2.43▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dacia Buiucani 2–0–3 FC Politehnica Chisinau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Politehnica Chisinau	2-1 HT 1-0	Dacia Buiucani
18/07/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Dacia Buiucani	1-5 HT 1-3	FC Politehnica Chisinau
01/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Politehnica Chisinau	2-1 HT 1-0	Dacia Buiucani
30/08/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Dacia Buiucani	4-1 HT 2-0	FC Politehnica Chisinau
12/07/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Politehnica Chisinau	2-3 HT 2-1	Dacia Buiucani

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	18	11	6	1	43	14	39
2	Zimbru Chisinau	18	10	5	3	38	15	35
3	CS Petrocub	18	9	6	3	34	16	33
4	Dacia Buiucani	17	7	3	7	22	23	24
5	FC Milsami	17	5	7	5	19	23	22
6	FC Politehnica Chisinau	17	5	4	8	26	27	19
7	FC Real Sireti	18	2	7	9	14	29	13
8	FC Balti	17	1	2	14	10	59	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dacia Buiucani	FC Politehnica Chisinau
FC Milsami	0-1 L	3-3 D
FC Real Sireti	3-1 W	1-2 L
CS Petrocub	0-0 D	0-1 L
Sheriff Tiraspol	2-5 L	0-2 L
Zimbru Chisinau	1-0 W	1-2 L
FC Balti	3-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dacia Buiucani (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dacia Buiucani

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-1	6	10	L
24/10	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
17/10	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
10/10	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-2	2-5	4	9	L
19/09	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-0	5	8	W
13/09	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
05/09	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
30/08	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/08	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
15/08	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-1	3	8	W

FC Politehnica Chisinau

WLDWLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
24/10	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
18/10	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	3-0	4-1	7	1	W
11/10	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-2	3-3	5	4	D
19/09	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
12/09	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-1	1-2	0	2	L
05/09	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	13	0	D
23/08	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-4	0	5	L
15/08	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	5-0	6-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dacia Buiucani vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dacia Buiucani win (37%). Probabilities: Dacia Buiucani 37%, draw 26%, FC Politehnica Chisinau 37%.

How many goals are expected in Dacia Buiucani vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Dacia Buiucani 1.59 · FC Politehnica Chisinau 1.59), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dacia Buiucani vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.